PolyBot

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Traders

Animalmother

0x346ba97af3cb82f56452ca75c9f06ba07de7d70f

Realised P&L
$987.67
Volume
$86.3k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$5.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration56.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration95.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1530.275$5.3k+$2.3k
Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1170.080$204.93$95.07
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.1000.033$32.50$67.50
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1400.029$28.50$111.50
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? · No0.0500.000$0.00$183.00
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$130.00
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$199.98
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00$85.50
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$149.99
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$200.00
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$4.14
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 25-December 1? · No0.0950.000$0.00$50.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00$328.69
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$100.00
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 18-24? · Yes0.0950.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 07:35Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.1399999999$981.86
08-05 06:31Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.1613831137$2.0k
06-29 18:12Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1171139607$300.00
06-18 08:27Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?SELL0.0635622552$32.94
06-04 12:58Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?BUY0.1929461678$100.00
05-29 11:00MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?SELL0.7203699968$379.93
01-07 17:32Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.26$130.00
01-06 22:39Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.14$140.00
01-06 22:39Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?BUY0.1$100.00
12-29 21:13Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?BUY0.057$0.57
12-29 21:03Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?BUY0.2$24.20
12-22 14:32MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?BUY0.01$57.25
12-17 15:13Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?BUY0.01$11.08
12-09 20:53Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?BUY0.0578804994$100.00
12-01 09:59MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?BUY0.1896050512$100.00