0x4CfB000767e3fd2170d9EA02E9CcB1D916b7442C-1763894946588
0x8347499d7fa276c912c33784dc8d455fbc18fee2
- Realised P&L
- $988.50
- Volume
- $17.8k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $4.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.209 | 0.275 | $4.2k | +$1.0k |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.86 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET · Up | 0.172 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 19:33 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999999 | $642.94 |
| 09-14 17:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.1720137449 | $25.00 |
| 09-14 17:25 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.5k |
| 09-14 13:11 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999996 | $70.51 |
| 09-14 13:09 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.0k |
| 07-29 17:03 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.003 | $6.86 |