0x3d09b4beedfa821eb0d4d35049a6ad3f7c51654f
- Realised P&L
- $3.5k
- Volume
- $37.1k
- Markets traded
- 1
- Open portfolio
- $10.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded1
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.181 | 0.275 | $10.2k | +$3.5k |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 14:15 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1629326962 | $328.06 |
| 09-09 14:15 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $200.00 |
| 09-09 14:14 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $200.00 |
| 09-09 14:14 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $200.00 |
| 09-09 14:14 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $200.00 |
| 09-09 14:14 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $200.00 |
| 09-09 14:14 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $200.00 |
| 09-09 14:14 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $200.00 |
| 09-09 14:14 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $200.00 |
| 09-08 20:44 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999999 | $200.00 |
| 09-08 20:18 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1707008169 | $200.00 |
| 09-08 20:18 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $200.00 |
| 09-08 17:59 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $200.00 |
| 09-08 17:59 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $200.00 |
| 09-08 17:59 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $200.00 |