PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x15D2A627b55C0742EaD6b7DEeC24FE88Ca31bC1A-1767274000139

0x15d2a627b55c0742ead6b7deec24fe88ca31bc1a

Realised P&L
$1.9k
Volume
$22.8k
Markets traded
2
Open portfolio
$5.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar8.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded2
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration85.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1430.275$4.6k+$2.2k
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? · Yes0.1800.130$804.68$311.06

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 17:45Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.1699999999$221.08
08-19 21:01Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.1699999988$93.14
08-19 21:00Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?BUY0.1610064687$200.00
07-30 20:46Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?BUY0.1799999958$30.00
07-30 20:46Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?BUY0.1799999958$30.00
07-30 20:46Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.1584001584$200.00
07-30 20:45Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?BUY0.1781093678$100.00
07-29 16:14Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?BUY0.151188918$226.04
07-29 16:14Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.1699999986$100.00
07-24 11:25Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999996$213.93
07-07 14:43Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.0905583909$224.16
07-05 12:02Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.1464003215$264.87
05-26 19:11Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?BUY0.2041014063$221.71
05-01 09:09Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?BUY0.2199999531$3.00
05-01 09:09Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?BUY0.2199999727$5.00