0x15D2A627b55C0742EaD6b7DEeC24FE88Ca31bC1A-1767274000139
0x15d2a627b55c0742ead6b7deec24fe88ca31bc1a
- Realised P&L
- $-369.01
- Volume
- $19.7k
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration76.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.135 | $2.0k | −$71.74 |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? · Yes | 0.185 | 0.125 | $618.46 | −$297.27 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 20:46 | Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | BUY | 0.1799999958 | $30.00 |
| 07-30 20:46 | Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | BUY | 0.1799999958 | $30.00 |
| 07-30 20:46 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | BUY | 0.1584001584 | $200.00 |
| 07-30 20:45 | Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | BUY | 0.1781093678 | $100.00 |
| 07-29 16:14 | Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | BUY | 0.151188918 | $226.04 |
| 07-29 16:14 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999986 | $100.00 |
| 07-24 11:25 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | BUY | 0.1099999996 | $213.93 |
| 07-07 14:43 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | BUY | 0.0905583909 | $224.16 |
| 07-05 12:02 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | BUY | 0.1464003215 | $264.87 |
| 05-26 19:11 | Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | BUY | 0.2041014063 | $221.71 |
| 05-01 09:09 | Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | BUY | 0.2199999531 | $3.00 |
| 05-01 09:09 | Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 05-01 09:05 | Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | BUY | 0.2092050209 | $100.00 |
| 05-01 09:04 | Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | BUY | 0.2089547561 | $200.00 |
| 04-29 16:35 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | BUY | 0.1618015134 | $30.00 |