Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-19
Resolves by: https://x.com/elonmusk
Rewards: 50 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.19. down 0.03 over the period, from 0.22. Range 0.17 to 0.23. 37 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.20	245	245
0.21	676	921
0.22	1,313	2,234
0.23	361	2,595
0.24	483	3,078
0.25	850	3,928
0.26	6	3,934
0.27	345	4,279
0.28	330	4,608
0.29	236	4,845
0.30	5	4,850
0.58	400	5,250

Spread0.02Mid0.19

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.18	113	113
0.17	910	1,023
0.16	389	1,412
0.15	227	1,639
0.14	328	1,967
0.13	30	1,997
0.12	530	2,527
0.11	30	2,557
0.10	30	2,587
0.09	240	2,827
0.08	418	3,245
0.07	554	3,799

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.82	113	113
0.83	910	1,023
0.84	389	1,412
0.85	227	1,639
0.86	328	1,967
0.87	30	1,997
0.88	530	2,527
0.89	30	2,557
0.90	30	2,587
0.91	240	2,827
0.92	418	3,245
0.93	554	3,799

Spread0.02Mid0.81

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.80	245	245
0.79	676	921
0.78	1,313	2,234
0.77	361	2,595
0.76	483	3,078
0.75	850	3,928
0.74	6	3,934
0.73	345	4,279
0.72	330	4,608
0.71	236	4,845
0.70	5	4,850
0.42	400	5,250

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
zalozhen	Yes	851.24
387411007415611814092217897387	Yes	207.97
reefv	Yes	99.47
smalltimezzz	Yes	68.17
2B9S	Yes	61.25
Haradwaith	Yes	50.1
Ondra	Yes	29
0x4621…805c	Yes	9.52
WanderingPanda	Yes	5
donthackme	Yes	4.99
0xa7a0…bebe	Yes	4.76
0xa5ef…2966	No	1,636.6
dddtrips	No	428.5
SupercubPA18	No	109
0x122Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed-1782168978900	No	71.1
CaprioDiLeo	No	37.49
str-1000	No	35
Etherapp	No	24.69
Lucindagail	No	10
Balfang	No	10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
03:48:49	BUY	Yes	0.19	33	$6.22
03:47:58	BUY	Yes	0.18	17	$3.01
23:47:07	SELL	Yes	0.17	9	$1.53
23:00:55	SELL	No	0.82	16	$13.14
20:36:25	BUY	Yes	0.17	10	$1.70
20:17:18	SELL	No	0.81	6	$5.26
20:16:51	BUY	Yes	0.19	7	$1.33
20:14:03	BUY	No	0.8	71	$56.88
20:13:46	BUY	No	0.79	429	$338.52
19:25:57	BUY	No	0.789593578	109	$86.07
18:54:57	SELL	Yes	0.22	396	$87.03
18:42:19	BUY	No	0.7699999877	6	$5.00
17:48:22	BUY	Yes	0.23	11	$2.53
17:47:21	BUY	No	0.77	3	$2.31
17:47:21	BUY	No	0.78	8	$6.24
17:47:21	BUY	No	0.77	5	$3.85
17:42:01	BUY	Yes	0.23	22	$5.06
17:41:30	SELL	Yes	0.22	60	$13.20
17:41:24	SELL	Yes	0.23	450	$103.50
16:01:27	BUY	No	0.77	10	$7.70
16:00:40	BUY	Yes	0.23	30	$6.90
15:58:46	SELL	No	0.78	83	$64.80
15:58:43	SELL	No	0.78	50	$39.00
15:58:40	BUY	Yes	0.2053454672	690	$141.70
14:06:12	BUY	No	0.8099999352	1	$1.00