SupercubPA18
0x19a4ae213c0b3c592eb0efcaf0dd72b2cfd7fa7a
- Realised P&L
- $73.05
- Volume
- $68.1k
- Markets traded
- 369
- Open portfolio
- $6.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded369
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$230.70at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
- +$119.76at 0.805Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?
- +$100.13at 0.722Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
- +$98.76at 0.448Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?
- +$94.12at 0.687Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 04:14 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $488.40 |
| 09-16 04:09 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $60.45 |
| 09-15 19:25 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.789593578 | $86.07 |
| 09-15 14:36 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.932 | $186.40 |
| 09-15 10:10 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 09-15 10:00 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.904 | $123.83 |
| 09-15 09:35 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $4.46 |
| 09-15 06:38 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.957 | $95.70 |
| 09-15 05:48 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9433597985 | $123.57 |
| 09-15 00:47 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.949 | $178.40 |
| 09-15 00:45 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.947 | $46.81 |
| 09-14 21:17 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.9632537383 | $103.07 |
| 09-14 18:18 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.837 | $5.02 |
| 09-14 15:40 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.97 | $48.50 |
| 09-14 15:40 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.809 | $4.04 |