0xa7a03b7bc677c289f0c3606795734b112af5bebe
- Realised P&L
- $-1.08
- Volume
- $19.07
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $4.89
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration20.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.775 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? · No | 0.270 | 0.255 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.175 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · No | 0.750 | 0.625 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.215 | $0.69 | −$0.31 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.210 | 0.125 | $0.60 | −$0.40 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 02:53 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 18:52 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 10:50 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 01:51 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 17:51 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 09:51 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |