Balfang
0x58b9d0390d5a134bcfbacd1157403e44bdade3ca
- Realised P&L
- $141.96
- Volume
- $40.9k
- Markets traded
- 685
- Open portfolio
- $230.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded685
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$131.10at 0.430Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$118.79at 0.221Will the highest temperature in New York City be 37°F or higher on December 8?
- +$58.92at 0.141Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?
- +$54.52at 0.220US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
- +$49.60at 0.380Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 23:33 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.025 | $0.75 |
| 09-22 23:31 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 09-22 23:20 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 23:11 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 09-22 22:54 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 00:06 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.31 |
| 09-22 00:05 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $6.90 |
| 09-21 23:57 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.50 |
| 09-21 23:55 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $7.50 |
| 09-21 23:54 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 23:47 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.051 | $2.04 |
| 09-21 23:46 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.013 | $1.30 |
| 09-21 23:42 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $5.22 |
| 09-21 23:42 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $2.90 |
| 09-21 23:40 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.13 |