Balfang
0x58b9d0390d5a134bcfbacd1157403e44bdade3ca
- Realised P&L
- $33.24
- Volume
- $27.3k
- Markets traded
- 515
- Open portfolio
- $360.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded515
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$131.10at 0.430Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$118.79at 0.221Will the highest temperature in New York City be 37°F or higher on December 8?
- +$54.51at 0.220US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
- +$49.60at 0.380Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$48.48at 0.330Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-05-03?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 22:53 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $11.40 |
| 08-03 22:53 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $11.60 |
| 08-03 22:38 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 08-03 22:38 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 08-03 22:25 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.028 | $1.12 |
| 08-03 22:22 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.029 | $0.29 |
| 08-02 23:10 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $7.50 |
| 08-02 23:08 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.196 | $1.96 |
| 08-02 23:05 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $6.70 |
| 08-02 22:58 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 08-02 22:57 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 08-02 22:57 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $3.90 |
| 08-02 22:56 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $3.90 |
| 08-02 22:55 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $2.70 |
| 08-02 22:55 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $2.70 |