PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Balfang

0x58b9d0390d5a134bcfbacd1157403e44bdade3ca

Realised P&L
$141.96
Volume
$40.9k
Markets traded
685
Open portfolio
$230.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded685
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.7100.440$61.60$37.80
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.6200.390$39.00$23.00
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.4690.305$35.08$18.92
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes0.1150.175$17.50+$6.00
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes0.1600.255$12.75+$4.75
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No0.9400.855$8.54$0.85
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes0.0450.076$7.60+$3.10
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026? · No0.7100.755$7.55+$0.45
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026? · Yes0.5300.630$6.30+$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes0.2300.295$5.90+$1.30
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No0.7000.555$5.55$1.45
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yes0.0900.095$4.75+$0.25
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yes0.0800.075$3.75$0.25
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes0.0800.065$3.25$0.75
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes0.0900.065$3.22$1.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 23:33Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?SELL0.025$0.75
09-22 23:31Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?SELL0.18$3.60
09-22 23:20Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.04$2.00
09-22 23:11Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.08$4.00
09-22 22:54Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?SELL0.05$1.00
09-22 00:06Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.6$3.31
09-22 00:05Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?SELL0.32$6.90
09-21 23:57Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.05$2.50
09-21 23:55Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.15$7.50
09-21 23:54Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.04$2.00
09-21 23:47Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?SELL0.051$2.04
09-21 23:46Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?SELL0.013$1.30
09-21 23:42Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?SELL0.3$5.22
09-21 23:42Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?SELL0.31$2.90
09-21 23:40Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?SELL0.013$0.13