reefv
0x8d2cc310b2cc5da8568cfde894de3bf3cbbd465d
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $186.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,933
- Open portfolio
- $120.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,933
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$315.00at 0.090Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 1?
- +$205.00at 0.180Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 10?
- +$186.51at 0.487Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 2?
- +$163.38at 0.346Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?
- +$150.20at 0.235Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 08:36 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $8.00 |
| 09-20 08:25 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $14.88 |
| 09-20 08:24 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $2.55 |
| 09-20 08:23 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.6266101695 | $18.49 |
| 09-20 08:19 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $19.50 |
| 09-20 08:17 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 09-18 16:53 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $25.01 |
| 09-17 05:51 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $13.00 |
| 09-16 03:48 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $6.22 |
| 09-16 03:47 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.01 |
| 09-14 16:06 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $28.60 |
| 09-14 16:05 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.51 | $2.23 |
| 09-14 14:59 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.553 | $5.53 |
| 09-14 14:59 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.583 | $5.83 |
| 09-14 14:30 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.3947279345 | $21.69 |