PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

reefv

0x8d2cc310b2cc5da8568cfde894de3bf3cbbd465d

Realised P&L
$-1.8k
Volume
$186.5k
Markets traded
1,933
Open portfolio
$120.17

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,933
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration8.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? · Yes0.6200.685$75.32+$7.11
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? · Yes0.1590.160$25.60+$0.17
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? · Yes0.3400.175$19.25$18.15
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$8.25
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 August 10-16? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 7? · No0.3300.000$0.00$19.80
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$15.05
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 12? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00$27.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 15? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$1.01
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$8.50
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 17? · Yes0.9000.000$0.00$18.00
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026? · Yes0.1770.000$0.00$8.85
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET · Up0.4800.000$0.00$24.00
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00$22.50
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 08:36Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?BUY0.16$8.00
09-20 08:25Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?BUY0.16$14.88
09-20 08:24Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?BUY0.15$2.55
09-20 08:23Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?BUY0.6266101695$18.49
09-20 08:19Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?BUY0.65$19.50
09-20 08:17Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?BUY0.64$6.40
09-18 16:53Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?SELL0.25$25.01
09-17 05:51Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?BUY0.13$13.00
09-16 03:48Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?BUY0.19$6.22
09-16 03:47Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?BUY0.18$3.01
09-14 16:06Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?SELL0.26$28.60
09-14 16:05Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?SELL0.51$2.23
09-14 14:59Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?BUY0.553$5.53
09-14 14:59Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?BUY0.583$5.83
09-14 14:30Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?SELL0.3947279345$21.69