reefv
0x8d2cc310b2cc5da8568cfde894de3bf3cbbd465d
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $178.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,864
- Open portfolio
- $81.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,864
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$315.00at 0.090Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 1?
- +$205.00at 0.180Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 10?
- +$192.93at 0.470Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 2?
- +$167.25at 0.331Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?
- +$153.90at 0.227Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 4? | SELL | 0.0021186667 | $0.13 |
| 08-04 02:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.58 | $5.80 |
| 08-04 02:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.57 | $11.40 |
| 08-04 02:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.56 | $6.72 |
| 08-04 02:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.56 | $4.48 |
| 08-03 06:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.33 | $16.50 |
| 08-03 06:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 08-02 10:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET | BUY | 0.8199999902 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 09:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.7299999679 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 09:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | BUY | 0.919999919 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 09:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | SELL | 0.44 | $5.06 |
| 08-02 09:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 09:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 09:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | BUY | 0.4707913015 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 09:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $10.00 |