Lucindagail
0x3ca3ca5e3d103ccb61f8a0bd82ee8ad4ad7345b2
- Realised P&L
- $4.6k
- Volume
- $10.2k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $20.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar45.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? · No | 0.810 | 0.825 | $8.25 | +$0.15 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? · No | 0.750 | 0.735 | $7.41 | −$0.15 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? · No | 0.660 | 0.430 | $4.35 | −$2.32 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 8? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bucks vs. Thunder · Thunder | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spread: Knicks (-2.5) · Hawks | 0.484 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$144.96 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 30? · No | 0.746 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.500Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)
- +$2.2kat 0.490Spread: Heat (-5.5)
- +$44.45at 0.552Spread: Knicks (-3.5)
- +$4.60at 0.540Knicks vs. Hornets
- +$2.58at 0.660Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 07:03 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $7.56 |
| 09-15 07:02 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $8.10 |
| 09-15 07:02 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999743 | $6.67 |
| 07-17 10:55 | France vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.8799999961 | $18.00 |
| 06-08 07:44 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.9099999827 | $10.00 |
| 06-08 07:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 8? | BUY | 0.0030101442 | $1.00 |
| 05-29 09:25 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 30? | BUY | 0.7462686567 | $10.00 |
| 05-29 09:05 | UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $10.00 |
| 04-25 22:34 | Spread: Knicks (-2.5) | BUY | 0.4199999991 | $123.55 |
| 04-09 16:01 | Spread: Knicks (-3.5) | BUY | 0.56 | $28.35 |
| 03-26 15:23 | Knicks vs. Hornets | BUY | 0.54 | $5.40 |
| 03-10 14:20 | Pistons vs. Nets | BUY | 0.8990002875 | $4.00 |
| 03-10 14:20 | Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 | BUY | 0.6599999604 | $5.00 |
| 03-10 14:19 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31? | BUY | 0.7599998936 | $4.00 |
| 03-10 14:19 | DeepSeek V4 released by March 15? | BUY | 0.88999998 | $4.00 |