PolyBot

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Traders

0x462105316ec35288364e7f9512fee3f17db2805c

Realised P&L
$-5.09
Volume
$78.53
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$12.45

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)31.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.5500.855$3.11+$1.11
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.7900.895$2.27+$0.27
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · No0.7800.855$2.19+$0.19
Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9? · Yes0.3600.330$1.83$0.17
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%? · Yes0.5500.485$1.76$0.24
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026? · Yes0.7220.464$1.28$0.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 15:16Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?BUY0.3599999208$2.00
08-04 07:15Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?BUY0.7219999264$2.00
08-03 19:14Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.78$2.00
08-03 11:02Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.7899999289$2.00
08-03 11:01Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?BUY0.5499999725$2.00
08-03 03:00Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.5499999725$2.00
08-02 18:54US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.5499999725$2.00
08-02 09:25Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.3099999364$2.00
08-02 00:57Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.6099999786$2.00
08-01 16:51Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.59999994$2.00
08-01 16:30Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.4299999505$2.00
08-01 03:03New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-31 18:56Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-31 10:56Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5$2.00
07-30 18:17New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53