PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x462105316ec35288364e7f9512fee3f17db2805c

0x462105316ec35288364e7f9512fee3f17db2805c

Realised P&L
$-7.29
Volume
$217.32
Markets traded
53
Open portfolio
$2.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded53
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration92.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes0.3700.340$1.84$0.16
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No0.3500.028$0.16$1.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 20:49Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.3699999593$2.00
09-19 11:35Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.3499999825$2.00
09-19 03:35Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.7599999848$2.00
09-17 16:33Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.3899999337$2.00
09-17 08:25Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.5399999568$2.00
09-15 00:07Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?BUY0.2099999895$2.00
09-13 11:40Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.8$2.00
09-12 13:56Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.7899999289$2.00
09-12 04:35Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2099999895$2.00
09-11 19:52Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.25$2.00
09-08 08:57Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.6899999345$2.00
09-08 08:24Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.7399999186$2.00
09-07 23:18Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.7299999087$2.00
09-03 12:24US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.4299999505$2.00
09-03 04:07US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.7$2.00