0x462105316ec35288364e7f9512fee3f17db2805c
0x462105316ec35288364e7f9512fee3f17db2805c
- Realised P&L
- $-7.29
- Volume
- $217.32
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $2.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.340 | $1.84 | −$0.16 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No | 0.350 | 0.028 | $0.16 | −$1.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.94at 0.258Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026?
- +$3.07at 0.402Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$2.59at 0.442Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
- +$1.94at 0.512Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?
- +$1.87at 0.510Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of July 27 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 20:49 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 11:35 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 03:35 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 16:33 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 08:25 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 00:07 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 11:40 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 13:56 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 04:35 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 19:52 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 08:57 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.6899999345 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 08:24 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999186 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 23:18 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 12:24 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.4299999505 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 04:07 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.7 | $2.00 |