WanderingPanda
0x74ff920ae2c6314627395eaf42b10fbb0604be5b
- Realised P&L
- $-7.5k
- Volume
- $10.35M
- Markets traded
- 2,272
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,272
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration48.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.762Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.590Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.102Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
- +$817.78at 0.164Trump out as President before 2027?
- +$725.12at 0.563Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 00:21 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 09-18 00:17 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $3.22 |
| 09-18 00:13 | Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.182 | $2.37 |
| 09-17 23:21 | Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 09-17 23:21 | Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.30 |
| 09-17 23:21 | Will White House post 180-199 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 09-17 23:14 | Will White House post 180-199 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $9.94 |
| 09-17 23:14 | Will White House post 160-179 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $12.24 |
| 09-17 23:12 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $2.88 |
| 09-17 22:18 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 09-17 22:13 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $2.99 |
| 09-17 22:03 | Will White House post 140-159 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.984 | $4.92 |
| 09-17 20:23 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.56 |
| 09-17 19:36 | Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.948 | $9.48 |
| 09-17 19:24 | Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.813 | $12.19 |