Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 16?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-16
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.56. up 0.37 over the period, from 0.20. Range 0.12 to 0.56. 131 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.57	186	186
0.58	22	208
0.59	74	282
0.61	100	382
0.65	174	557
0.66	250	807
0.69	50	857
0.70	20	877
0.71	60	937
0.73	100	1,037
0.74	80	1,117
0.83	75	1,192

Spread0.01Mid0.56

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.56	141	141
0.54	74	215
0.20	60	275
0.19	531	806
0.18	300	1,106
0.12	16,667	17,772
0.09	27,778	45,550
0.07	20	45,570
0.06	41,667	87,237
0.04	7	87,243
0.03	100,000	187,243
0.01	6	187,249

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.44	141	141
0.46	74	215
0.80	60	275
0.81	531	806
0.82	300	1,106
0.88	16,667	17,772
0.91	27,778	45,550
0.93	20	45,570
0.94	41,667	87,237
0.96	7	87,243
0.97	100,000	187,243
0.99	6	187,249

Spread0.01Mid0.43

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.43	186	186
0.42	22	208
0.41	74	282
0.39	100	382
0.35	174	557
0.34	250	807
0.31	50	857
0.30	20	877
0.29	60	937
0.27	100	1,037
0.26	80	1,117
0.17	75	1,192

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Antony82	Yes	501.12
bufogodis	Yes	100
mantou11	Yes	60.3
BetterFish	Yes	60
solder	Yes	59.99
gfdgfvfvssdd	Yes	40
MMNiam	Yes	40
ZZdddss332	Yes	21.02
Hugin-og-Munin	Yes	20
title1	Yes	20
cigarettes	Yes	20
etghzcer	Yes	18
aHjCz	Yes	11.97
udumbdumb	Yes	7
Lucerys	Yes	1.05
special-one	Yes	1.03
0xa5ef…2966	No	469.95
AJSV	No	333.28
tradetosurvive1	No	60
sdssds	No	39

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
20:46:24	BUY	No	0.56	30	$16.80
19:36:04	BUY	No	0.55	20	$11.00
18:32:42	BUY	No	0.56	40	$22.40
17:03:00	BUY	Yes	0.4652182308	209	$97.29
13:29:59	BUY	Yes	0.32	20	$6.40
11:23:07	BUY	No	0.71	20	$14.20
09:46:11	SELL	No	0.49	1	$0.50
09:44:58	BUY	Yes	0.31	1	$0.32
03:16:23	SELL	No	0.53	1	$0.40
02:35:08	BUY	Yes	0.3	12	$3.59
00:01:40	BUY	No	0.76	20	$15.20
23:58:01	BUY	Yes	0.24	20	$4.80
23:10:16	BUY	Yes	0.3	7	$2.10
22:57:58	BUY	No	0.65	146	$94.84
17:13:16	BUY	Yes	0.3	20	$6.00
11:00:44	SELL	No	0.73	40	$29.38
10:39:35	BUY	Yes	0.27	100	$27.00
08:03:10	BUY	No	0.72	20	$14.40
14:06:53	SELL	No	0.72	20	$14.40
14:06:50	SELL	No	0.72	1	$0.72
14:06:50	BUY	Yes	0.28	40	$11.20
14:06:48	BUY	Yes	0.27	266	$71.82
14:06:48	BUY	Yes	0.28	40	$11.17
14:06:48	BUY	Yes	0.272	25	$6.80
07:42:59	BUY	Yes	0.2533333333	18	$4.56