MMNiam
0x949ea13f3c629b948198736976dba7bfe0abf5f2
- Realised P&L
- $142.36
- Volume
- $6.8k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $482.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$293.90at 0.265Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN - Map 1 Winner
- +$24.69at 0.882Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 2?
- +$24.36at 0.760Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?
- +$14.15at 0.987Lula or Bolsonaro favored on October 5?
- +$1.47at 0.194Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 16:25 | Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.53 | $159.00 |
| 10-03 15:23 | Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.52 | $78.00 |
| 10-03 12:25 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 10-03 12:23 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.29 | $58.00 |
| 10-02 16:00 | Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 2? | BUY | 0.9840986667 | $147.61 |
| 09-30 23:20 | Republican Senate odds hit 50% by October 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.04 |