solder
0x727e819c79ac4eb555518cccdfd424d2d4cf8b9d
- Realised P&L
- $3.5k
- Volume
- $150.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,268
- Open portfolio
- $3.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,268
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$523.71at 0.044US strikes Iraq by February 28?
- +$495.46at 0.045Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
- +$319.57at 0.144Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?
- +$230.18at 0.079Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?
- +$187.58at 0.035Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 11:25 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | SELL | 0.72 | $10.80 |
| 07-20 16:02 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 13:48 | Will Colorado have the closest Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $90.00 |
| 07-18 02:46 | Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 20,000-30,000? | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 07-11 15:36 | Will Andrew Pemberton get second place in the Clacton by-election? | SELL | 0.994 | $12.41 |
| 07-10 04:28 | Will Andrew Pemberton get second place in the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.909 | $45.85 |
| 07-10 04:20 | Will Andrew Pemberton get second place in the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.909 | $4.54 |
| 07-08 13:56 | Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.809 | $40.45 |
| 07-07 18:19 | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 23:39 | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 7? | SELL | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 07-06 23:39 | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 7? | SELL | 0.42 | $12.43 |
| 07-06 23:03 | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 6? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 07-06 15:36 | Moscow air traffic suspended by July 15? | SELL | 0.5455935988 | $14.66 |
| 07-06 15:09 | Moscow air traffic suspended by July 15? | BUY | 0.37 | $2.96 |
| 07-06 14:54 | Moscow air traffic suspended by July 15? | SELL | 0.35 | $37.80 |