solder
0x727e819c79ac4eb555518cccdfd424d2d4cf8b9d
- Realised P&L
- $3.8k
- Volume
- $155.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,349
- Open portfolio
- $3.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,349
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$523.72at 0.044US strikes Iraq by February 28?
- +$495.12at 0.046Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
- +$318.87at 0.145Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?
- +$230.18at 0.079Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?
- +$187.48at 0.035Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 17:14 | Will "Bass Persuades" - Miley Cyrus first week album sales be between 60k and 70k? | BUY | 0.32 | $16.00 |
| 09-14 00:21 | Will the announcers say "Inch" or "Inches" during the Cowboys vs Giants game? | SELL | 0.72 | $8.98 |
| 09-13 07:48 | Will the announcers say "Inch" or "Inches" during the Cowboys vs Giants game? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.87 |
| 09-12 23:57 | Will "Bass Persuades" - Miley Cyrus first week album sales be between 40k and 50k? | BUY | 0.26 | $10.40 |
| 09-12 23:32 | Will "Bass Persuades" - Miley Cyrus first week album sales be between 50k and 60k? | BUY | 0.1452755906 | $18.45 |
| 09-12 05:53 | Will "Bass Persuades" - Miley Cyrus first week album sales be between 40k and 50k? | BUY | 0.22 | $8.80 |
| 09-12 05:53 | Will "Bass Persuades" - Miley Cyrus first week album sales be less than 40k? | BUY | 0.23 | $13.80 |
| 09-11 12:55 | Will no one dissent the September Fed decision? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 12:34 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 12:01 | Will Colorado have the closest Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $45.82 |
| 09-10 23:42 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 09-10 17:54 | Will Andy Burnham say "Defence" during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.68 | $13.60 |
| 09-09 23:45 | Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.9882498298 | $29.03 |
| 09-09 11:19 | Will Andy Burnham say "Immigration" during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 09-09 11:04 | Will Andy Burnham say "Immigration" during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.56 | $11.20 |