PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

udumbdumb

0xed3234924d2c53254b66f33ca8bc7bb8df97c4fa

Realised P&L
$-0.75
Volume
$421.26
Markets traded
63
Open portfolio
$38.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded63
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 20:00Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 14?BUY0.97$4.85
10-14 20:00Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 14?BUY0.94$4.70
10-14 19:54Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.98$1.05
10-14 16:04Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or below on October 14?SELL0.995$4.97
10-14 13:32Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 14?SELL0.999$5.00
10-14 12:16Will Andy Burnham say "Northern Ireland" during the next PMQ?SELL0.99$4.95
10-14 10:12Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or below on October 14?BUY0.948$4.74
10-14 10:08Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 14?SELL0.999$5.00
10-14 08:45Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 14?BUY0.964$4.82
10-14 08:29Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 14?SELL0.999$5.00
10-14 05:12Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 14?BUY0.6$3.00
10-14 05:06Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 14?SELL0.99$4.95
10-14 05:01Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 14?BUY0.96$4.80
10-14 04:07Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 8?SELL0.033$0.76
10-14 04:07Will TreVeyon Henderson have 699.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.58$2.90