udumbdumb
0xed3234924d2c53254b66f33ca8bc7bb8df97c4fa
- Realised P&L
- $-0.75
- Volume
- $421.26
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $38.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.20at 0.560Will Zacharia say "Nuclear" 2+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?
- +$1.84at 0.632Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 14?
- +$1.65at 0.659Will Andy Burnham say "Northern Ireland" during the next PMQ?
- +$1.56at 0.832Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 13?
- +$1.25at 0.750Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 14? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |
| 10-14 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 14? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 10-14 19:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $1.05 |
| 10-14 16:04 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or below on October 14? | SELL | 0.995 | $4.97 |
| 10-14 13:32 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 12:16 | Will Andy Burnham say "Northern Ireland" during the next PMQ? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 10-14 10:12 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or below on October 14? | BUY | 0.948 | $4.74 |
| 10-14 10:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 08:45 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.964 | $4.82 |
| 10-14 08:29 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 05:12 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 10-14 05:06 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 10-14 05:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 10-14 04:07 | Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 8? | SELL | 0.033 | $0.76 |
| 10-14 04:07 | Will TreVeyon Henderson have 699.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.58 | $2.90 |