PolyBot

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Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win less than 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-05

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.010. down 0.245 over the period, from 0.255. Range 0.005 to 0.355. 67 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.02055
0.0426065
0.04360125
0.04570195
0.04663258
0.04820278
0.06045323
0.06180403
0.06410413
0.06820433
0.10550483
0.10620503

Spread—Mid—

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

Spread—Mid—

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.98055
0.9586065
0.95760125
0.95570195
0.95463258
0.95220278
0.94045323
0.93980403
0.93610413
0.93220433
0.89550483
0.89420503

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
gambler925Yes2,668.91
Seeking-Alpha01Yes1,493.14
Antony82Yes500
balthazarYes436.5
0xAaaF2Efc99a7060aDBdaB9bC1Eb77Dc58E9f8eb5-1771040352133Yes339.1
AnCap.InvestorYes220
navberYes208.09
radeksaturkaYes200
dotblueYes177.7
0x38B63F2a6393a72A9042915A4D45edf38e3935B9-1767625381840Yes177.02
AJSVYes114.7
a5533Yes99.97
HerrieDavisYes94.98
pootytherewardfarmerYes91.8
PwwoYes91.22
solderYes90
pdntYes50
tradetosurvive1Yes48.08
LoneForestWolfYes45.38
PPMTYes29.95

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
07:03:13BUYYes0.0291$1.82
06:09:47BUYNo0.9987315261118$118.26
02:57:04BUYNo0.99821$21.21
02:56:59BUYNo0.9982$2.27
02:56:58BUYNo0.9985$5.19
01:42:20BUYNo0.998125$124.77
23:37:47BUYNo0.995$4.95
22:46:08BUYNo0.9927$26.85
22:46:07BUYNo0.989511002420$20.24
22:46:07BUYNo0.9928$27.77
22:46:07BUYNo0.993$2.48
22:45:46BUYNo0.9889999985$4.96
22:44:02BUYNo0.985$4.90
22:41:44BUYNo0.97510$9.79
22:41:44BUYNo0.9749337636118$114.81
22:39:01BUYNo0.9741$1.40
22:38:58BUYNo0.9741$1.14
22:38:58BUYNo0.97419$18.97
22:37:58BUYNo0.97202371545$4.92
22:15:32SELLNo0.9330$27.90
22:15:22BUYNo0.9365940054147$137.49
22:13:50BUYYes0.08215$17.16
22:12:19SELLYes0.06129$7.72
22:06:11SELLNo0.93162$150.67
22:06:11SELLYes0.0715$1.05