0x05ae158cab5eeef1741f7b1660f913c7da8b5323
0x05ae158cab5eeef1741f7b1660f913c7da8b5323
- Realised P&L
- $1.7k
- Volume
- $37.5k
- Markets traded
- 242
- Open portfolio
- $3.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded242
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.665WLFI >$13B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
- +$233.01at 0.562WLFI market cap (FDV) >$16B one day after launch?
- +$150.00at 0.500Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
- +$140.22at 0.500US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$117.75at 0.500Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 12:31 | Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | SELL | 0.171 | $19.64 |
| 10-04 12:22 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.9658004219 | $137.00 |
| 10-04 12:22 | Will Rayssa Furlan win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election? | BUY | 0.0599999995 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 12:22 | Will Helder win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election? | BUY | 0.0923267258 | $15.00 |
| 10-04 12:21 | Will Arthur Lira win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election? | BUY | 0.5 | $60.00 |
| 10-04 12:21 | Will Arthur Lira win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 12:21 | Will Arthur Lira win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election? | BUY | 0.5599999642 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 12:21 | Will Arthur Lira win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 12:20 | Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election? | BUY | 0.4449673226 | $75.00 |
| 10-04 12:20 | Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election? | BUY | 0.2933985273 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 12:18 | Will Sanderson win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election? | BUY | 0.3189999835 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 12:18 | Will Sanderson win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election? | BUY | 0.3189999937 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 12:17 | Will Clécio Luís win the 2026 Amapá gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.2029999989 | $15.00 |
| 10-04 12:17 | Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election? | BUY | 0.51999999 | $25.00 |
| 10-04 12:16 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 45% and 48% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5387245656 | $40.00 |