radeksaturka
0xa98cd85359a4b15e82162f4569f2634a63595173
- Realised P&L
- $-301.01
- Volume
- $13.1k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $382.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.96at 0.400Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 30?
- +$20.15at 0.097Will "Patient Zero" hit 35m first week streams?
- +$5.98at 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
- +$2.50at 0.520Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?
- +$2.40at 0.390Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 16:03 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $39.95 |
| 09-30 14:17 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | BUY | 0.4957354167 | $23.80 |
| 09-30 08:31 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | SELL | 0.29212 | $11.68 |
| 09-29 15:43 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | SELL | 0.51 | $4.71 |
| 09-29 15:43 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | BUY | 0.5199999546 | $2.75 |
| 09-28 21:00 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1? | SELL | 0.22 | $13.03 |
| 09-28 20:58 | Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 300k? | SELL | 0.09 | $4.97 |
| 09-28 20:58 | Manchester City punishment announced by October 23? | SELL | 0.83 | $49.80 |
| 09-28 20:58 | Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco? | SELL | 0.543 | $3.00 |
| 09-28 06:04 | Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 300k? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.52 |
| 09-27 20:56 | Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco? | SELL | 0.781 | $70.28 |
| 09-27 20:52 | Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco? | BUY | 0.782 | $70.37 |
| 09-27 19:45 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.0978247261 | $1.25 |
| 09-27 19:45 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.44 | $10.66 |
| 09-27 19:44 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.1010213079 | $2.75 |