PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

radeksaturka

0xa98cd85359a4b15e82162f4569f2634a63595173

Realised P&L
$-301.01
Volume
$13.1k
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$382.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)23.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026? · No0.7500.685$68.50−$6.50
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? · No0.7680.515$46.87−$23.04
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? · No0.4960.720$34.56+$10.76
Will "Other Mommy" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No0.7600.590$29.50−$8.50
Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.3900.280$28.00−$11.00
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.95% in October? · Yes0.6800.470$27.26−$12.18
Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31? · Yes0.5000.315$25.20−$14.80
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31? · No0.6100.375$24.00−$15.04
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? · No0.2590.229$22.90−$3.00
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? · No0.6400.525$21.00−$4.60
Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar? · No0.7000.090$15.09−$102.31
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027? · No0.6600.675$13.50+$0.30
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026? · No0.4600.205$10.25−$12.75
Will Coinbase be first to list tokenized stocks in the US? · Yes0.1700.135$6.75−$1.75
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.2800.110$5.50−$8.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 16:03Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 30?SELL0.999$39.95
09-30 14:17Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?BUY0.4957354167$23.80
09-30 08:31Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?SELL0.29212$11.68
09-29 15:43Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?SELL0.51$4.71
09-29 15:43Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?BUY0.5199999546$2.75
09-28 21:00Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?SELL0.22$13.03
09-28 20:58Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 300k?SELL0.09$4.97
09-28 20:58Manchester City punishment announced by October 23?SELL0.83$49.80
09-28 20:58Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?SELL0.543$3.00
09-28 06:04Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 300k?BUY0.1$1.52
09-27 20:56Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?SELL0.781$70.28
09-27 20:52Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?BUY0.782$70.37
09-27 19:45Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 28?SELL0.0978247261$1.25
09-27 19:45Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 28?SELL0.44$10.66
09-27 19:44Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 28?SELL0.1010213079$2.75