AnCap.Investor
0xc6f71e0dd4f309f0854bb855c389d95c5ffc87ae
- Realised P&L
- $3.6k
- Volume
- $326.2k
- Markets traded
- 549
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded549
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.072Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?
- +$1.4kat 0.715Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
- +$655.41at 0.335Will Trump post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on Truth Social this week?
- +$376.63at 0.380US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$334.57at 0.164Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 19:42 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.45 | $45.00 |
| 08-02 08:21 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $22.00 |
| 07-31 19:40 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $46.00 |
| 07-31 05:12 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.052 | $10.40 |
| 07-31 05:12 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.052 | $5.20 |
| 07-31 01:10 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.052 | $3.22 |
| 07-31 01:10 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 01:08 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 07-29 23:16 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $16.60 |
| 07-29 23:15 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $16.60 |
| 07-29 22:12 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July? | BUY | 0.72 | $21.59 |
| 07-29 22:12 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.30006 | $30.01 |
| 07-29 22:11 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | BUY | 0.0677874667 | $20.34 |
| 07-28 18:31 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July? | BUY | 0.69 | $69.00 |
| 07-28 18:31 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July? | BUY | 0.68 | $8.96 |