Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-18
Resolves by: https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.017. up 0.009 over the period, from 0.008. Range 0.008 to 0.019. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.025	20	20
0.030	14	34
0.034	40	74
0.036	30	104
0.037	176	280
0.040	9	289
0.041	100	389
0.045	274	663
0.046	235	898
0.048	134	1,032
0.050	8	1,040
0.058	50	1,090

Spread0.016Mid0.017

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.009	111	111
0.008	150	261
0.007	306	567
0.005	36	603
0.003	334	937
0.002	1,700	2,637
0.001	2,158	4,795

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.991	111	111
0.992	150	261
0.993	306	567
0.995	36	603
0.997	334	937
0.998	1,700	2,637
0.999	2,158	4,795

Spread0.016Mid0.983

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.975	20	20
0.970	14	34
0.966	40	74
0.964	30	104
0.963	176	280
0.960	9	289
0.959	100	389
0.955	274	663
0.954	235	898
0.952	134	1,032
0.950	8	1,040
0.942	50	1,090

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
No-risk-no-bisc	Yes	414.05
kod.cip	Yes	350
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	294.46
2B9S	Yes	263.36
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938	Yes	170.86
haouibao	Yes	85
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271	Yes	77.54
balthazar	Yes	76
0xd0d9…30f2	Yes	60
mustbethewater	Yes	40.11
e46m3	Yes	25.98
jackli003	Yes	21.6
Specialist200303	Yes	12.15
TENETENET	Yes	10
VonVonagh	Yes	9.15
egrsafvafvaer	Yes	5
triklozoid	Yes	5
Kaskstp	Yes	4.65
0xa5ef…2966	No	1,924.99

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
10:10:25	BUY	No	0.992	28	$27.78
19:05:28	BUY	Yes	0.012	125	$1.50
18:50:41	BUY	No	0.993	22	$21.72
18:50:41	BUY	No	0.993	30	$29.79
18:50:41	BUY	No	0.993	30	$29.79
18:50:41	BUY	No	0.993	50	$49.65
18:50:41	BUY	No	0.9929999999	80	$79.36
18:50:41	BUY	No	0.993	52	$51.86
08:22:54	BUY	Yes	0.012	5	$0.06
08:22:51	BUY	Yes	0.012	5	$0.06
08:22:48	BUY	Yes	0.012	5	$0.06
08:22:47	BUY	Yes	0.012	5	$0.06
08:22:44	BUY	Yes	0.012	5	$0.06
08:22:41	BUY	Yes	0.012	5	$0.06
08:22:39	BUY	Yes	0.010444	5	$0.05
08:15:36	BUY	Yes	0.01	5	$0.05
08:13:18	BUY	Yes	0.01	5	$0.05
08:13:15	BUY	Yes	0.01	5	$0.05
08:13:14	BUY	Yes	0.01	5	$0.05
08:13:09	BUY	Yes	0.01	5	$0.05
07:17:06	BUY	Yes	0.0092888889	12	$0.11
07:20:48	BUY	Yes	0.009	5	$0.04
07:20:44	BUY	Yes	0.009	5	$0.04
07:20:39	BUY	Yes	0.009	5	$0.04
07:20:33	BUY	Yes	0.009	5	$0.04