Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.13. Unchanged over the period, from 0.13. Range 0.13 to 0.13. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.13	812	812
0.14	845	1,658
0.15	242	1,900
0.16	143	2,043
0.17	5	2,048
0.23	6	2,054
0.39	20	2,074
0.78	23	2,096
0.79	101	2,197
0.80	169	2,366
0.81	750	3,116
0.83	250	3,367

Spread0.01Mid0.13

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.12	750	750
0.11	1,000	1,750
0.10	409	2,159
0.09	272	2,431
0.08	20	2,451
0.06	334	2,785
0.05	350	3,135
0.04	2,050	5,185
0.03	1,570	6,755
0.02	5,125	11,880
0.01	2,375	14,255

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.88	750	750
0.89	1,000	1,750
0.90	409	2,159
0.91	272	2,431
0.92	20	2,451
0.94	334	2,785
0.95	350	3,135
0.96	2,050	5,185
0.97	1,570	6,755
0.98	5,125	11,880
0.99	2,375	14,255

Spread0.01Mid0.88

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.87	812	812
0.86	845	1,658
0.85	242	1,900
0.84	143	2,043
0.83	5	2,048
0.77	6	2,054
0.61	20	2,074
0.22	23	2,096
0.21	101	2,197
0.20	169	2,366
0.19	750	3,116
0.17	250	3,367

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
SammeK	Yes	1,145.19
thecaricature	Yes	137.83
thursdays	Yes	96.35
dropmeplease	Yes	86.61
1BTCis1BTC	Yes	53.13
nstradumbass	Yes	45
Wordsmith	Yes	38.31
AJSV	Yes	36.61
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	29.52
protonboy	Yes	23.09
buur	Yes	20
plusdome	Yes	18.06
0x2cD08Fd366105BcaF5B1e049461ABEF08c74F897-1782143691535	Yes	14.29
0xDDd78f704dF32B10Bebb913Aa4C288f6ab74A820-1770099842522	Yes	13.39
Lavincey	Yes	10
gawkgawk	Yes	10
piggyramen	Yes	10
PPMT	Yes	9.12
0x39D3C7740AFFe4e953F66700159116394D497c7C-1771250347473	Yes	8.33
twok020101	Yes	7.69

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
02:51:04	SELL	No	0.87	11	$9.88
07:01:01	SELL	Yes	0.12	18	$2.17
07:58:09	SELL	No	0.87	1	$0.87
07:12:10	BUY	No	0.8799999795	4	$3.44
06:27:40	SELL	No	0.87	3	$2.61
20:23:43	BUY	Yes	0.1299999948	23	$3.00
11:41:40	SELL	Yes	0.12	34	$4.10
10:08:36	SELL	No	0.87	4	$3.48
09:14:18	BUY	No	0.8799999898	4	$3.44
22:35:15	SELL	No	0.87	4	$3.48
21:41:12	BUY	No	0.8799999898	4	$3.44
21:57:54	BUY	No	0.8799999996	114	$100.00
08:51:37	SELL	Yes	0.12	17	$2.04
07:53:49	SELL	Yes	0.12	36	$4.32
15:24:12	BUY	Yes	0.13	54	$7.02
16:49:54	BUY	Yes	0.1299998986	8	$1.00
12:54:13	BUY	Yes	0.1299999859	54	$7.00
11:02:49	BUY	Yes	0.1317487483	53	$7.00
21:23:43	BUY	No	0.8799999648	1	$1.00
13:09:15	BUY	Yes	0.1399999426	14	$2.00
12:54:58	BUY	Yes	0.1381358566	145	$20.00
12:31:55	BUY	Yes	0.1299999902	77	$10.00
10:28:48	SELL	Yes	0.12	10	$1.15
21:48:36	SELL	No	0.87	100	$87.00
14:59:01	SELL	No	0.87	5	$4.35