PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

SammeK

0xcd5c369f76c580c11041aa1414a91f08cc92626b

Realised P&L
$-2.7k
Volume
$58.2k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$143.15

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration98.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2750.125$143.15$171.85
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$52.99
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$10.00
Will Israel win Eurovision 2025? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$20.00
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$20.00
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025? · Yes0.3980.000$0.00$3.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-13 12:54Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1381358566$20.00
08-13 12:31Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1299999902$10.00
06-30 21:06Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.1$10.00
06-28 18:43Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1615201838$20.00
06-12 14:10SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?BUY0.6$25.00
06-11 19:35Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.002$8.00
05-21 16:21Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2$10.00
05-16 19:23Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.9276713941$130.00
05-13 15:29Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2115384461$10.00
05-12 17:48Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2299999931$20.00
05-11 07:39Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2367941642$25.00
05-08 19:14Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3922684712$200.00
04-20 13:57Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL0.68$56.49
04-20 05:39Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.75$62.31
04-20 04:31Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.0308777689$43.00