PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x78d4be5f5e9900cbe771e6e2e21a959f02a9c133

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
118
Open portfolio
$2.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded118
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3100.150$1.50−$1.60
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.060$0.60−$0.80
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports - Map 1 Winner · FURIA Esports0.0700.000$0.00−$1.00
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 2 Winner · NRG0.3200.000$0.00−$6.00
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs · NRG0.2690.000$0.00−$7.00
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$1.02
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 1 Winner · NRG0.5000.000$0.00−$2.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-16 21:29Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.0699999363$1.00
07-16 21:26Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaBUY0.1399999426$2.00
07-12 15:37Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsBUY0.16$2.00
07-12 15:24Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.1199998992$1.00
07-12 14:46Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.4799999808$5.00
07-12 14:45Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsBUY0.3699999674$5.00
07-12 14:43Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsSELL0.62$18.60
07-12 14:42Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerSELL0.94$4.70
07-12 14:36Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerSELL0.21$1.50
07-12 14:23Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.1399998824$1.00
07-12 14:18Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerSELL0.61$3.66
07-12 13:48Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsBUY0.43$4.30
07-12 13:47Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsBUY0.43$8.60
06-21 21:15Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.03$1.02
06-21 21:13Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?BUY0.44$2.20