0xDDd78f704dF32B10Bebb913Aa4C288f6ab74A820-1770099842522
0xddd78f704df32b10bebb913aa4c288f6ab74a820
- Realised P&L
- $-120.61
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $1.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.51at 0.437Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
- +$26.17at 0.497Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
- +$24.13at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
- +$14.11at 0.425Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
- +$5.93at 0.40776ers vs. Celtics
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 14:37 | Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $1.10 |
| 06-18 14:37 | Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $0.88 |
| 06-18 14:37 | Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $1.72 |
| 06-18 14:37 | Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.26 |
| 06-18 14:36 | Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $2.01 |
| 06-18 14:36 | Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $0.93 |
| 06-18 14:35 | Jimmy Lai released by June 30? | SELL | 0.006 | $2.99 |
| 05-30 05:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 05-30 05:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $5.00 |
| 05-30 05:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $5.00 |
| 05-17 23:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.6655704274 | $5.00 |
| 05-17 16:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 05-17 16:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 05-17 16:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 05-17 16:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET | BUY | 0.7299999679 | $5.00 |