PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xDDd78f704dF32B10Bebb913Aa4C288f6ab74A820-1770099842522

0xddd78f704df32b10bebb913aa4c288f6ab74a820

Realised P&L
$-120.61
Volume
$3.5k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$1.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7470.125$1.67$8.33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET · Down0.6650.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET · Up0.3100.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00$4.00
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.5540.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET · Down0.1670.000$0.00$10.00
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.7800.000$0.00$4.00
76ers vs. Knicks · 76ers0.2300.000$0.00$9.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET · Down0.2600.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET · Down0.3040.000$0.00$4.76
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET · Down0.0150.000$0.00$15.00
Pistons vs. Magic · Magic0.4100.000$0.00$3.98
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET · Up0.4950.000$0.00$10.00
Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.1840.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-18 14:37Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?SELL0.55$1.10
06-18 14:37Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?SELL0.44$0.88
06-18 14:37Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?SELL0.86$1.72
06-18 14:37Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?SELL0.13$0.26
06-18 14:36Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?SELL0.67$2.01
06-18 14:36Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?SELL0.31$0.93
06-18 14:35Jimmy Lai released by June 30?SELL0.006$2.99
05-30 05:08Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETBUY0.01$5.00
05-30 05:07Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETBUY0.02$5.00
05-30 05:07Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETBUY0.02$5.00
05-17 23:46Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETBUY0.6655704274$5.00
05-17 16:40Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETBUY0.5399999654$5.00
05-17 16:39Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETBUY0.1$5.00
05-17 16:35Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETBUY0.5099999796$5.00
05-17 16:33Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETBUY0.7299999679$5.00