Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.07 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.75 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://x.com/variational_io
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.766. down 0.076 over the period, from 0.842. Range 0.742 to 0.864. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.783	80	80
0.785	33	113
0.786	142	255
0.787	120	375
0.794	21	396
0.799	15	411
0.800	220	631
0.801	60	691
0.803	100	791
0.804	100	891
0.805	200	1,091
0.806	535	1,625

Spread0.034Mid0.766

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.749	85	85
0.743	157	242
0.742	80	322
0.741	336	658
0.738	21	679
0.731	50	729
0.720	40	769
0.650	10	779
0.645	322	1,102
0.603	5	1,107
0.602	5	1,112
0.502	59	1,170

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.251	85	85
0.257	157	242
0.258	80	322
0.259	336	658
0.262	21	679
0.269	50	729
0.280	40	769
0.350	10	779
0.355	322	1,102
0.397	5	1,107
0.398	5	1,112
0.498	59	1,170

Spread0.034Mid0.234

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.217	80	80
0.215	33	113
0.214	142	255
0.213	120	375
0.206	21	396
0.201	15	411
0.200	220	631
0.199	60	691
0.197	100	791
0.196	100	891
0.195	200	1,091
0.194	535	1,625

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
RisingFreedom	Yes	26,542.89
0xF9B182fae15dc192CfEE293ca5f8dA029Ee271e6-1778889120461	Yes	5,484.97
hitjnn214	Yes	1,278.61
qbe3	Yes	955
666kai	Yes	900
HEBI55	Yes	600
horriblebear	Yes	465
goodar	Yes	458.67
wangw	Yes	399.18
pika2zero	Yes	331.72
DanielBurns9805	Yes	314
nigeiwoguolai	Yes	306
TPAA	Yes	296.43
walcaraz	Yes	285.22
baygel	Yes	262.48
0x8deCCbd793155A8A041c881747030fA59caC7E3f-1734271548314	Yes	169.37
MiyagoloMusashi	Yes	160
Drdrizzit	Yes	150
Integer4	Yes	143.28
ValdeMURRR	Yes	125.81

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
22:10:48	SELL	Yes	0.756	35	$26.46
22:10:31	SELL	Yes	0.761	20	$15.22
22:10:28	BUY	No	0.2291964434	164	$37.61
20:57:22	SELL	No	0.215	50	$10.75
20:51:27	SELL	No	0.216	20	$4.32
20:51:25	SELL	No	0.216	10	$2.16
20:51:25	SELL	No	0.216	28	$6.05
20:51:24	SELL	No	0.2417948194	435	$105.29
20:51:24	BUY	Yes	0.784	10	$7.84
20:51:24	BUY	Yes	0.7848585	20	$15.70
20:51:24	BUY	Yes	0.784	20	$15.68
20:51:24	BUY	Yes	0.784	40	$31.36
20:51:24	BUY	Yes	0.784	20	$15.68
15:38:37	SELL	No	0.217	0	$0.00
15:38:31	BUY	Yes	0.7839999777	7	$5.62
15:38:30	SELL	No	0.216	7	$1.55
15:38:28	SELL	No	0.217	7	$1.56
01:45:39	BUY	No	0.2379999814	4	$1.00
22:56:27	BUY	No	0.1745463523	29	$5.00
19:06:33	BUY	No	0.198	1,500	$297.00
16:48:39	SELL	Yes	0.802	125	$100.25
13:05:36	SELL	Yes	0.829	50	$41.45
13:05:30	SELL	Yes	0.829	50	$41.45
13:05:22	SELL	Yes	0.829	50	$41.45
13:05:16	SELL	Yes	0.827	50	$41.35