DanielBurns9805
0x92649005d08f17a0497eda1d5b4b71eb1b013734
- Realised P&L
- $193.78
- Volume
- $132.6k
- Markets traded
- 114
- Open portfolio
- $493.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded114
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$369.75at 0.250Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?
- +$275.28at 0.500Will Jake Paul walk out to Paper Planes by M.I.A.?
- +$198.80at 0.600Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
- +$155.74at 0.490Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?
- +$134.03at 0.361Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-09 02:22 | Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $41.60 |
| 02-09 02:21 | Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $96.00 |
| 02-09 02:20 | Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $94.08 |
| 02-08 16:12 | Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.9 | $61.20 |
| 02-08 15:45 | Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31? | SELL | 0.8 | $126.40 |
| 02-08 15:43 | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.79 | $96.38 |
| 02-08 14:32 | Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26? | SELL | 0.327 | $81.42 |
| 01-11 15:38 | Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.71 | $153.19 |
| 01-11 15:36 | Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.71 | $60.17 |
| 01-11 15:34 | Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.71 | $23.07 |
| 01-11 14:46 | Over $22M committed to the Space public sale? | BUY | 0.86 | $184.90 |
| 01-11 13:43 | Will the Buffalo Bills be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round? | SELL | 0.85 | $168.30 |
| 01-11 12:50 | Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31? | BUY | 0.68 | $107.44 |
| 01-11 12:16 | Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.82 | $55.76 |
| 01-11 11:29 | Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $92.46 |