PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

goodar

0xca89a9026223e082ebada4dc82e003f80f50b94a

Realised P&L
$-6.2k
Volume
$252.4k
Markets traded
208
Open portfolio
$5.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded208
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.6830.780$2.1k+$262.74
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.8490.741$1.6k$232.42
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.7310.270$948.87$1.6k
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.4540.370$323.88$73.96
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6540.731$300.24+$31.57
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes0.1400.105$74.97$24.99
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.7600.895$1.15+$0.17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 6? · No0.2500.000$0.00$20.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$100.00
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · No0.4700.000$0.00$100.11
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$100.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 26? · No0.1120.000$0.00$10.08
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$18.75
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? · No0.1500.000$0.00$99.90
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? · Yes0.2120.000$0.00$58.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 06:36Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.69$300.96
09-07 06:35Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.68$709.79
08-08 20:11Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.7$28.00
07-26 05:50Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.69$349.57
07-14 19:24Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5482407773$87.00
07-12 19:00US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.54$11.28
07-08 04:59Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.48$4.80
07-06 15:05Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 6?BUY0.25$10.00
07-06 10:06Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?BUY0.52$99.84
07-03 14:58US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.44$99.88
06-28 20:01Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.15$99.90
06-24 07:51US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.25$100.00
06-22 15:42Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.14$99.96
06-13 16:11US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?SELL0.61$271.50
06-11 20:30Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?SELL0.32$76.16