goodar
0xca89a9026223e082ebada4dc82e003f80f50b94a
- Realised P&L
- $-6.2k
- Volume
- $252.4k
- Markets traded
- 208
- Open portfolio
- $5.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded208
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$823.19at 0.935Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
- +$614.33at 0.769Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
- +$413.98at 0.241Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
- +$366.14at 0.710Will Trump visit China by April 30?
- +$362.18at 0.801Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 06:36 | Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.69 | $300.96 |
| 09-07 06:35 | Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.68 | $709.79 |
| 08-08 20:11 | Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7 | $28.00 |
| 07-26 05:50 | Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.69 | $349.57 |
| 07-14 19:24 | Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5482407773 | $87.00 |
| 07-12 19:00 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.54 | $11.28 |
| 07-08 04:59 | Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 07-06 15:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 6? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 07-06 10:06 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | BUY | 0.52 | $99.84 |
| 07-03 14:58 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $99.88 |
| 06-28 20:01 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $99.90 |
| 06-24 07:51 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $100.00 |
| 06-22 15:42 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $99.96 |
| 06-13 16:11 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SELL | 0.61 | $271.50 |
| 06-11 20:30 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $76.16 |