PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

nigeiwoguolai

0x06c1d2910ea748c47db6b745acf40301fe8a2727

Realised P&L
$-21.2k
Volume
$325.2k
Markets traded
136
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded136
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9120.955$1.1k+$51.00
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8430.750$229.50$28.39
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.9360.983$152.00+$7.12
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.7300.967$137.28+$33.59
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? · Yes0.5501.000$100.02+$45.01
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7400.955$95.45+$21.45
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.1800.610$59.78+$42.14
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes0.6010.046$3.27$39.51
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6210.000$0.00$621.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5110.000$0.00$306.60
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$177.00
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets · Timberwolves0.4030.000$0.00$398.73
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.6900.000$0.00$690.00
Trail Blazers vs. Suns · Suns0.5600.000$0.00$37.14
Cavaliers vs. Raptors · Cavaliers0.5650.000$0.00$11.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 14:04Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.899$89.90
09-12 14:03Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.898$5.39
09-12 14:03Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.54$55.07
09-11 09:21Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.815$81.50
06-25 15:34Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.511$306.60
06-25 15:34Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.621$621.00
06-24 15:28Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.75$75.00
06-24 15:28Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.72$720.00
06-23 11:16Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.86$688.00
06-21 16:53Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.69$690.00
06-21 16:53Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.7$700.00
06-19 02:45Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?BUY0.87$870.00
06-17 15:58Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.72$360.00
06-17 15:56Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?BUY0.26$286.00
06-17 15:54Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.77$770.00