qbe3
0x6885c4433cef8df478cc5acdbd8fe0711809964f
- Realised P&L
- $741.83
- Volume
- $30.6k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $16.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.898 | 0.978 | $5.0k | +$408.55 |
| Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.835 | 0.870 | $4.9k | +$195.22 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.896 | 0.859 | $3.0k | −$128.19 |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No | 0.460 | 0.390 | $1.2k | −$217.16 |
| Will RISE launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.962 | 0.986 | $1.2k | +$27.60 |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No | 0.715 | 0.785 | $274.93 | +$24.68 |
| Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to at least 5 years in prison? · No | 0.979 | 0.979 | $172.55 | +$0.04 |
| Will 3jane launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.467 | 0.560 | $156.54 | +$25.98 |
| Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.976 | 0.988 | $98.35 | +$1.18 |
| Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to 2 to 5 years in prison? · No | 0.961 | 0.955 | $62.14 | −$0.44 |
| Will Arch Network launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.910 | 0.976 | $10.84 | +$0.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$212.09at 0.863Will Squid launch a token by December 31, 2026?
- +$92.02at 0.919Will Squid launch a token by March 31, 2027?
- +$26.05at 0.990Will MrBeast hit 508 million subscribers by July 31?
- +$21.00at 0.810Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?
- +$14.00at 0.986Will MrBeast hit 133 billion views by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 08:09 | Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.987 | $58.39 |
| 09-09 08:08 | Will RISE launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.986 | $71.59 |
| 09-01 05:54 | Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to at least 5 years in prison? | BUY | 0.982 | $19.64 |
| 08-31 17:54 | Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to at least 5 years in prison? | BUY | 0.981 | $39.24 |
| 08-31 17:53 | Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to at least 5 years in prison? | BUY | 0.981 | $39.24 |
| 08-31 17:51 | Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to at least 5 years in prison? | BUY | 0.981 | $39.24 |
| 08-30 06:14 | Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to at least 5 years in prison? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 08-27 18:30 | Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.7952277331 | $365.08 |
| 08-24 05:14 | Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.7707696662 | $110.91 |
| 08-24 05:13 | Over $8M committed to the Multipli public sale? | BUY | 0.9976282528 | $268.36 |
| 08-23 11:06 | Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.738363535 | $26.49 |
| 08-23 11:06 | Over $15M committed to the Multipli public sale? | BUY | 0.9977789948 | $159.42 |
| 08-23 11:05 | Over $20M committed to the Multipli public sale? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.99 |
| 08-23 06:45 | Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.6898124768 | $216.02 |
| 08-22 19:51 | Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.6899999941 | $10.54 |