PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

HEBI55

0xd4cb5f968ba7345ca6033c80e1ffea598f3eecb7

Realised P&L
$8.2k
Volume
$1.03M
Markets traded
55
Open portfolio
$15.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded55
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.5200.210$2.1k−$3.1k
StandX FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.7860.982$1.9k+$372.65
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? · No0.9800.972$971.50−$8.50
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? · No0.9400.968$967.50+$27.50
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? · No0.9300.966$966.00+$36.00
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · No0.9400.965$964.50+$24.50
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? · No0.8820.956$955.50+$73.50
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8200.920$920.49+$100.50
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? · Anthropic0.9200.920$920.00+$0.00
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes0.6600.660$660.00+$0.00
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.6580.994$596.40+$201.60
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.5400.990$594.00+$270.00
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.8000.989$593.42+$113.40
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.7600.987$592.21+$136.20
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.6700.974$584.10+$182.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 13:02Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.2846810171$80.28
10-14 13:46StandX FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.9164$366.56
10-14 13:46StandX FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.8466031746$333.35
10-14 13:45StandX FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.7699601594$1.2k
07-21 07:01GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.9661078687$610.82
07-21 07:01GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.88$151.65
07-15 11:48GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.9800207218$3.9k
07-03 11:52Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.6481286823$360.83
07-01 06:41Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.51$5.26
06-29 09:56Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?SELL0.999$587.06
06-29 09:55GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.8898682281$6.0k
06-29 08:59GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.85$249.19
06-29 08:58GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.94$2.3k
06-28 10:42GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.83$92.44
06-27 13:21GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.9$1.2k