PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Integer4

0x64413ed592f05023fe8bcbc7c1d8b88fa6b3139e

Realised P&L
$11.9k
Volume
$806.9k
Markets traded
143
Open portfolio
$5.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded143
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7110.750$3.7k+$195.14
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? · Yes0.6620.265$825.27$1.2k
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.7900.875$546.87+$52.88
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.9730.965$269.14$2.37
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? · No0.3060.305$147.69$0.31
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.2370.240$41.82+$0.44
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.3690.280$28.10$8.98
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1300.182$14.04+$4.04
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2400.070$12.78$31.03
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0770.004$1.30$23.70
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0600.054$1.20$0.12
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0470.002$0.79$24.21
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes0.2320.000$0.00$230.89
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$1.0k
Epstein client list released in 2025? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 11:13Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.11$115.06
09-11 14:02Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.19$95.00
09-11 14:02Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.19$95.00
09-11 12:36Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2199999999$250.00
09-10 18:29Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.3699999998$250.00
09-08 10:35Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7717305247$113.00
09-08 06:10Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.732$36.60
09-08 06:09Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7607909122$146.60
09-02 13:21Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.43$43.00
08-28 09:10Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.8$20.00
08-28 09:10Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.7669061922$100.00
08-28 09:04Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.79$79.00
08-25 12:23Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.973$271.52
08-25 12:20Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8$62.26
08-22 12:21Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7289999998$42.76