Integer4
0x64413ed592f05023fe8bcbc7c1d8b88fa6b3139e
- Realised P&L
- $11.9k
- Volume
- $806.9k
- Markets traded
- 143
- Open portfolio
- $5.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded143
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.7kat 0.630Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
- +$6.9kat 0.545Will Rafał Trzaskowski or Karol Nawrocki win Mazowieckie?
- +$4.3kat 0.715Will Rafał Trzaskowski or Karol Nawrocki win Łódzkie?
- +$3.9kat 0.802Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
- +$3.6kat 0.723Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 11:13 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.11 | $115.06 |
| 09-11 14:02 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.19 | $95.00 |
| 09-11 14:02 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.19 | $95.00 |
| 09-11 12:36 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2199999999 | $250.00 |
| 09-10 18:29 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3699999998 | $250.00 |
| 09-08 10:35 | Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7717305247 | $113.00 |
| 09-08 06:10 | Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.732 | $36.60 |
| 09-08 06:09 | Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7607909122 | $146.60 |
| 09-02 13:21 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.43 | $43.00 |
| 08-28 09:10 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8 | $20.00 |
| 08-28 09:10 | Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7669061922 | $100.00 |
| 08-28 09:04 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.79 | $79.00 |
| 08-25 12:23 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.973 | $271.52 |
| 08-25 12:20 | Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $62.26 |
| 08-22 12:21 | Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7289999998 | $42.76 |