RisingFreedom
0x4cbc620532d7253ec3567497956fc32885fdedf7
- Realised P&L
- $-5.9k
- Volume
- $74.5k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $19.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.709 | 0.750 | $19.9k | +$1.1k |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-06? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.8k |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.8kat 0.572Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 21:46 | Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.826223887 | $1.0k |
| 09-07 12:11 | Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8011211268 | $568.80 |
| 09-06 15:02 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.2 | $800.00 |
| 09-06 15:01 | Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.56 | $5.0k |
| 09-06 15:01 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.0k |
| 09-06 12:56 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.51 | $5.1k |
| 09-06 12:36 | Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8406858101 | $461.40 |
| 09-05 08:00 | Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8187939479 | $1.0k |
| 09-05 08:00 | Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.774 | $117.84 |
| 09-05 07:59 | Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7714186275 | $196.71 |
| 09-05 07:59 | Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7141560074 | $195.97 |
| 08-28 02:20 | Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7905625914 | $1.9k |
| 08-22 06:21 | Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7278984405 | $338.87 |
| 08-22 05:58 | Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.725 | $26.94 |
| 08-03 14:24 | Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6683433612 | $1.4k |