Drdrizzit
0x637115d25470589511284b0c9213650963022cc2
- Realised P&L
- $-285.32
- Volume
- $6.3k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $204.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.750 | $112.50 | −$7.47 |
| Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No | 0.828 | 0.863 | $86.25 | +$3.45 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.133 | 0.018 | $5.55 | −$34.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.00at 0.720Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- +$9.73at 0.840Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- +$9.62at 0.670Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?
- +$5.06at 0.798Will Solana dip to $130 in November?
- +$5.00at 0.080Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:53 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $85.50 |
| 09-09 22:22 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $30.15 |
| 09-09 22:19 | Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.828 | $82.80 |
| 09-09 22:17 | Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7998 | $119.97 |
| 03-28 00:10 | St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils | SELL | 0.34 | $33.90 |
| 03-27 23:55 | St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils | BUY | 0.21 | $20.88 |
| 02-08 17:21 | Based FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.97 | $35.26 |
| 01-24 10:48 | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.56 |
| 01-20 19:03 | Based FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.96 | $34.90 |
| 01-07 19:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January? | BUY | 0.6699999942 | $19.53 |
| 01-07 19:07 | Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $19.30 |
| 01-01 12:25 | Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | BUY | 0.5732077304 | $19.41 |
| 12-21 20:20 | Will Base launch a token in 2025? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.41 |
| 12-21 20:19 | Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.32 |
| 12-21 20:13 | Ethereum all time high by December 31? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.41 |