ValdeMURRR
0x4d2ff8cab94e28be5b08da004d122053ce2b61ee
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $101.5k
- Markets traded
- 398
- Open portfolio
- $9.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded398
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$358.53at 0.272Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026?
- +$252.59at 0.353Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$228.50at 0.411Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-11?
- +$203.59at 0.911Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
- +$202.51at 0.815Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:55 | Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.899 | $53.93 |
| 11-02 00:54 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.7199999942 | $50.00 |
| 11-02 00:54 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.7199999965 | $50.00 |
| 10-29 15:05 | Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0980357761 | $8.49 |
| 10-27 18:41 | Will RISEx launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.75 | $22.50 |
| 10-27 18:41 | Will RISEx launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 10-27 18:40 | Will RISEx launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.31 | $31.00 |
| 10-27 18:39 | Will RISEx launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.31 | $31.00 |
| 10-27 18:39 | Will RISEx launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.3 | $9.00 |
| 10-18 09:13 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.808 | $201.32 |
| 10-17 14:11 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $33.96 |
| 10-17 01:39 | Will QFEX launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.72 | $21.59 |
| 10-17 01:39 | Will QFEX launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.71 | $32.51 |
| 10-17 01:38 | Pacifica FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.79 | $158.00 |
| 10-17 01:34 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M? | BUY | 0.57 | $11.40 |