PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ValdeMURRR

0x4d2ff8cab94e28be5b08da004d122053ce2b61ee

Realised P&L
$-2.4k
Volume
$101.5k
Markets traded
398
Open portfolio
$9.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded398
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.7670.892$1.0k+$142.36
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? · No0.6710.940$648.89+$185.59
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.5500.820$638.45+$210.50
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.6700.931$494.59+$138.78
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9000.977$488.25+$38.25
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.6890.930$485.42+$125.69
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.6830.724$361.86+$20.31
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.6620.945$341.24+$102.10
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.7710.930$307.03+$52.37
Will RISE launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.6040.865$300.38+$90.63
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? · No0.3800.955$286.50+$172.50
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes0.8600.946$283.65+$25.65
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.6500.875$274.68+$70.49
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.6460.947$250.51+$79.64
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.3600.855$239.40+$138.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 00:55Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.899$53.93
11-02 00:54Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.7199999942$50.00
11-02 00:54Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.7199999965$50.00
10-29 15:05Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?SELL0.0980357761$8.49
10-27 18:41Will RISEx launch a token by December 31, 2027?BUY0.75$22.50
10-27 18:41Will RISEx launch a token by June 30, 2027?BUY0.32$1.60
10-27 18:40Will RISEx launch a token by June 30, 2027?BUY0.31$31.00
10-27 18:39Will RISEx launch a token by June 30, 2027?BUY0.31$31.00
10-27 18:39Will RISEx launch a token by June 30, 2027?BUY0.3$9.00
10-18 09:13Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.808$201.32
10-17 14:11Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.09$33.96
10-17 01:39Will QFEX launch a token by June 30, 2027?BUY0.72$21.59
10-17 01:39Will QFEX launch a token by June 30, 2027?BUY0.71$32.51
10-17 01:38Pacifica FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.79$158.00
10-17 01:34Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?BUY0.57$11.40