PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ValdeMURRR

0x4d2ff8cab94e28be5b08da004d122053ce2b61ee

Realised P&L
$81.24
Volume
$104.2k
Markets traded
384
Open portfolio
$12.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded384
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? · Yes0.5080.780$1.3k+$441.90
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.7670.945$1.1k+$202.59
Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.7890.978$812.87+$157.05
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? · No0.6710.875$604.02+$140.72
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.5500.735$572.27+$144.32
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.7750.992$494.49+$107.97
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.6890.915$477.59+$117.86
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.6700.825$438.04+$82.23
Will Titan launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.7010.975$401.26+$112.76
Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.2700.763$376.22+$243.01
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.3090.305$374.52$5.20
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.6620.865$312.35+$73.21
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.7710.945$311.98+$57.32
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.8150.995$310.12+$55.95
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.6500.875$274.68+$70.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 10:58Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6899999957$105.00
09-15 13:11Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.29$44.31
09-15 13:06Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6$110.59
09-12 12:51Ethos FDV above $75M one day after launch?BUY0.19$2.09
09-12 12:46Ethos FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.1195116954$7.00
09-12 12:42Ethos FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.0857843136$25.00
09-12 12:42Ethos FDV above $75M one day after launch?BUY0.1582651019$81.00
09-11 13:02Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-11?BUY0.3799999924$5.00
09-09 19:09Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-11?BUY0.4$50.00
09-09 19:03Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-11?BUY0.4$100.00
09-01 10:04Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?BUY0.7199999959$35.00
09-01 10:04Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?BUY0.7168637201$80.00
08-30 17:42Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.12$6.91
08-29 23:40Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.61$64.05
08-29 23:40Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.37$115.33