wangw
0x062c1a34b50309d1481361a6a4aafd58c7cd6159
- Realised P&L
- $6.55
- Volume
- $66.1k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $299.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.756 | 0.750 | $299.38 | −$2.55 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.72 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 25? · No | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.00 |
| Grizzlies vs. Warriors · Grizzlies | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$126.49 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.24 |
| Will someone else be inaugurated? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$44.10 |
| MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40k in April? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.37 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.00 |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 1-2? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? · No | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$489.42 |
| Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.31 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? · No | 0.045 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$63.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$579.77at 0.080USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
- +$178.62at 0.220Mavericks vs. Jazz
- +$64.11at 0.200Will Trump send the national guard to Chicago?
- +$38.78at 0.880Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?
- +$13.35at 0.957Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1.5T yuan?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-24 02:15 | Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7563821584 | $301.93 |
| 07-26 23:55 | Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1.5T yuan? | BUY | 0.955 | $294.48 |
| 03-25 07:22 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 25? | BUY | 0.959 | $30.45 |
| 03-16 21:59 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.047 | $70.00 |
| 01-31 04:31 | Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $284.40 |
| 10-27 14:04 | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | BUY | 0.045 | $63.39 |
| 10-24 04:23 | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | SELL | 0.959 | $382.42 |
| 10-19 01:24 | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | BUY | 0.93 | $370.86 |
| 10-19 01:24 | Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025? | BUY | 0.975 | $39.01 |
| 10-02 03:27 | Will the Government shutdown end October 1-2? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.50 |
| 09-16 10:26 | Will Trump send the national guard to Chicago? | BUY | 0.2 | $71.24 |
| 08-26 13:18 | Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31? | BUY | 0.016 | $2.24 |
| 08-26 13:17 | Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31? | BUY | 0.0112863653 | $7.31 |
| 04-17 02:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40k in April? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.37 |
| 02-20 07:11 | Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.72 |