PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

wangw

0x062c1a34b50309d1481361a6a4aafd58c7cd6159

Realised P&L
$6.55
Volume
$66.1k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$299.38

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration64.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7560.750$299.38$2.55
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.72
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 25? · No0.3400.000$0.00$34.00
Grizzlies vs. Warriors · Grizzlies0.0060.000$0.00$126.49
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$2.24
Will someone else be inaugurated? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$44.10
MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$10.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $40k in April? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$1.37
Netanyahu out by March 31? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00$70.00
Will the Government shutdown end October 1-2? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$1.50
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? · No0.0400.000$0.00$489.42
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$7.31
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? · No0.0450.000$0.00$63.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-24 02:15Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7563821584$301.93
07-26 23:55Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1.5T yuan?BUY0.955$294.48
03-25 07:22Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 25?BUY0.959$30.45
03-16 21:59Netanyahu out by March 31?BUY0.047$70.00
01-31 04:31Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?BUY0.88$284.40
10-27 14:04Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?BUY0.045$63.39
10-24 04:23Xi Jinping out in 2025?SELL0.959$382.42
10-19 01:24Xi Jinping out in 2025?BUY0.93$370.86
10-19 01:24Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?BUY0.975$39.01
10-02 03:27Will the Government shutdown end October 1-2?BUY0.005$1.50
09-16 10:26Will Trump send the national guard to Chicago?BUY0.2$71.24
08-26 13:18Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?BUY0.016$2.24
08-26 13:17Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?BUY0.0112863653$7.31
04-17 02:07Will Bitcoin dip to $40k in April?BUY0.006$1.37
02-20 07:11Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?BUY0.001$1.72