PolyBot

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Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.10. down 0.10 over the period, from 0.19. Range 0.07 to 0.21. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1366
0.142834
0.19841
0.204990
0.21250340
0.22255595
0.296601
0.437608
0.444931,100
0.451341,234
0.80501,284
0.818202,104

Spread0.07Mid0.10

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.063939
0.0580119
0.04300419
0.031,0471,467
0.027572,224
0.012,9035,126

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.943939
0.9580119
0.96300419
0.971,0471,467
0.987572,224
0.992,9035,126

Spread0.07Mid0.91

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8766
0.862834
0.81841
0.804990
0.79250340
0.78255595
0.716601
0.577608
0.564931,100
0.551341,234
0.20501,284
0.198202,104

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
OnlyInGodWeTrustYes913.56
petralhaYes492.81
0x76234fAA399ad8a753f8d33F5E28703eeEB46CB6-1773228391753Yes324.54
PeryperyYes250
Lannister.Yes241.08
warptradingYes172.41
LornaPredictsYes150
0x456a21e06D02Ae26c12bdbD772D722F1f53905A1-1730732197410Yes145
blackcutrawtop8inYes129.49
ItsreallygonnahappenYes121.27
NadmiYes109.83
xtxpleasecallmeYes78.58
0x66c6…d412Yes66.31
0xB3aed53Be79db516DAD7f89E8BE10cfa4C05D58B-1772879875347Yes60.92
MosinTheCathYes57.14
HusbandOfGodYes55.01
0x5F3ee9c40Be255D1C18cA38bf4Ab94b564C75337-1776862065527Yes54.31
pppnnYes50
lukeroche91Yes49.08
Kikou5Yes46.51

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
13:06:07SELLNo0.866813842567$58.11
18:05:40BUYYes0.087$0.56
17:25:12BUYYes0.1112$1.33
16:52:18SELLYes0.08169473751,049$85.71
10:12:35SELLNo0.7611$8.01
18:26:18BUYYes0.28$1.66
18:16:45BUYNo0.8199999939$7.00
15:24:42SELLNo0.7959$46.52
16:27:35SELLNo0.7776$58.13
02:07:56SELLYes0.1916$3.06
21:34:38SELLYes0.163$0.42
12:05:03SELLNo0.7221$15.40
04:49:32SELLNo0.584097230980$46.62
03:23:14BUYNo0.819999998461$50.00
01:46:02BUYNo0.7964678055126$100.00
17:40:38SELLNo0.5993334526168$100.53
14:45:32SELLYes0.212$2.44
17:59:55SELLNo0.61533333331$0.83
17:41:29SELLNo0.7728$21.88
03:40:52BUYNo0.8136$29.16
03:37:52SELLYes0.1910$1.90
19:31:08SELLNo0.812357414453$42.73
07:23:42BUYYes0.1710$1.70
00:29:27SELLYes0.1612$1.90
13:57:48SELLYes0.132$0.30