blackcutrawtop8in
0xbbd89ac56e2286216c585d6adb03651743aedfdc
- Realised P&L
- $-130.63
- Volume
- $14.3k
- Markets traded
- 102
- Open portfolio
- $36.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded102
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$107.19at 0.053Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?
- +$75.05at 0.276Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?
- +$66.43at 0.070Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?
- +$60.60at 0.090Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?
- +$30.95at 0.340US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-15 10:11 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999859 | $7.00 |
| 04-15 10:11 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.0476426799 | $6.00 |
| 04-15 10:08 | Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.7528479393 | $20.00 |
| 04-15 10:08 | Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5174953168 | $25.00 |
| 04-15 10:05 | Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | SELL | 0.0206811217 | $2.23 |
| 04-15 10:05 | Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | SELL | 0.1 | $7.36 |
| 04-15 10:05 | US strike on Mexico by December 31? | SELL | 0.23 | $9.08 |
| 04-15 10:04 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.51 | $39.27 |
| 03-11 10:26 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.3499999841 | $11.00 |
| 03-11 09:23 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.009 | $4.00 |
| 03-08 05:11 | UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 03-08 05:10 | UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.1145417515 | $6.75 |
| 03-08 05:04 | UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.0725952813 | $5.00 |
| 03-08 04:53 | UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.22 | $5.94 |
| 03-08 04:51 | UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.3699999771 | $10.00 |