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Traders

blackcutrawtop8in

0xbbd89ac56e2286216c585d6adb03651743aedfdc

Realised P&L
$-130.63
Volume
$14.3k
Markets traded
102
Open portfolio
$36.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded102
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? · Yes0.3090.155$20.07$19.93
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1600.055$8.59$16.41
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.027$7.20$32.80
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0090.003$1.11$2.89
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00$15.00
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET · Up0.6450.000$0.00$12.47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 6? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$3.50
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$5.02
Will Tom Hanks be named in newly released Epstein files? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$5.00
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31? · No0.1600.000$0.00$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET · Down0.4240.000$0.00$8.52
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$7.00
Will Sam Altman say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on The Tonight Show on December 8? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$10.00
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? · No0.2600.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-15 10:11Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?BUY0.1299999859$7.00
04-15 10:11Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?BUY0.0476426799$6.00
04-15 10:08Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?BUY0.7528479393$20.00
04-15 10:08Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?BUY0.5174953168$25.00
04-15 10:05Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?SELL0.0206811217$2.23
04-15 10:05Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?SELL0.1$7.36
04-15 10:05US strike on Mexico by December 31?SELL0.23$9.08
04-15 10:04Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?SELL0.51$39.27
03-11 10:26US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.3499999841$11.00
03-11 09:23Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.009$4.00
03-08 05:11UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.08$4.00
03-08 05:10UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)SELL0.1145417515$6.75
03-08 05:04UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.0725952813$5.00
03-08 04:53UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)SELL0.22$5.94
03-08 04:51UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.3699999771$10.00
Trader blackcutrawtop8in · PolyBot Pro