OnlyInGodWeTrust
0x07855c9100df9d1a2262db86d2a62209aa65ecb4
- Realised P&L
- $-308.52
- Volume
- $341.8k
- Markets traded
- 628
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded628
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.400Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
- +$1.0kat 0.611Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
- +$987.17at 0.752Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?
- +$899.71at 0.644Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?
- +$817.52at 0.677US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 19:05 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30? | BUY | 0.445 | $15.05 |
| 09-15 20:30 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9 | $90.00 |
| 09-15 20:30 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.946 | $94.60 |
| 09-15 19:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999982 | $25.00 |
| 09-14 14:42 | Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | BUY | 0.2340896729 | $4.82 |
| 09-14 03:59 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5029999998 | $84.00 |
| 09-14 03:59 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.2399999995 | $77.00 |
| 09-14 03:55 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999997 | $200.00 |
| 09-14 03:53 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | SELL | 0.44 | $52.80 |
| 09-13 21:30 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15? | BUY | 0.95 | $47.50 |
| 09-13 21:17 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | SELL | 0.07 | $4.40 |
| 09-13 18:17 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.62 | $74.40 |
| 09-13 18:17 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15? | BUY | 0.89 | $97.90 |
| 09-13 17:51 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.518 | $56.98 |
| 09-13 17:50 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $47.00 |