PolyBot

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Traders

Itsreallygonnahappen

0xe4bbf3348645a3192219ec81b5adebaf880a4a9a

Realised P&L
$319.67
Volume
$33.7k
Markets traded
108
Open portfolio
$18.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded108
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? · Yes0.4100.155$18.80$30.92
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.2280.000$0.00$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-27 19:39Kurds declare independence from Iran?SELL0.023$0.92
05-05 16:30Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?BUY0.9464508095$152.00
05-05 16:29Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.37$153.00
04-27 10:38Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?BUY0.8499999774$13.16
04-27 10:36Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?SELL0.992$13.16
04-21 19:58Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?SELL0.998$170.66
04-19 08:28Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?SELL0.8030800187$137.70
04-19 08:28Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?SELL0.805156519$51.44
04-12 06:12Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?BUY0.5569999995$35.59
04-12 06:10Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?SELL0.417$35.59
04-11 20:38Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?BUY0.2989999938$25.52
04-11 20:37Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?SELL0.88$25.52
04-07 05:23Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?BUY0.8$139.92
04-05 05:49Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?BUY0.933$93.30
04-04 17:22Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?BUY0.9494020523$50.00