MosinTheCath
0x8f7913966a440ecd1296874e55f24ab44e762107
- Realised P&L
- $-22.65
- Volume
- $611.84
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $11.14
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration35.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.155 | $8.86 | −$11.14 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.160 | $2.28 | −$2.72 |
| Lakers vs. Jazz · Jazz | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bruins vs. Sharks · Bruins | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Fed rate cut by September meeting? · No | 0.044 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.98 |
| Fed rate cut in 2025? · No | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Philadelphia Union win on 2025-11-23? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Avalanche vs. Blackhawks · Blackhawks | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" during Museum of the Bible speech on September 8? · No | 0.169 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| San Jose State vs. San Diego State · San Jose State | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Buccaneers vs. Rams · Buccaneers | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.29at 0.350Stars vs. Flames
- +$8.16at 0.380Kings vs. Nuggets
- +$4.82at 0.384Spurs vs. Suns
- +$3.93at 0.330Utah State vs. Fresno State
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-12 19:15 | Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999895 | $20.00 |
| 11-24 02:10 | Will Philadelphia Union win on 2025-11-23? | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |
| 11-24 02:09 | Bruins vs. Sharks | BUY | 0.3599999376 | $3.00 |
| 11-24 02:06 | Avalanche vs. Blackhawks | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 11-24 02:04 | Spurs vs. Suns | BUY | 0.3836065188 | $3.00 |
| 11-24 01:56 | Lakers vs. Jazz | BUY | 0.1899999569 | $3.00 |
| 11-24 01:52 | Buccaneers vs. Rams | BUY | 0.08 | $3.00 |
| 11-23 05:53 | Utah State vs. Fresno State | BUY | 0.33 | $1.93 |
| 11-23 05:47 | San Jose State vs. San Diego State | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 11-23 05:43 | Stars vs. Flames | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 11-23 05:00 | Kings vs. Nuggets | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 09-07 05:29 | Fed rate cut by September meeting? | BUY | 0.0441071497 | $8.98 |
| 09-07 05:26 | Will Trump say "Biden" during Museum of the Bible speech on September 8? | BUY | 0.1685424547 | $5.00 |
| 09-07 05:22 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 09-07 05:18 | Fed rate cut in 2025? | BUY | 0.0109999892 | $1.00 |