0x76234fAA399ad8a753f8d33F5E28703eeEB46CB6-1773228391753
0x76234faa399ad8a753f8d33f5e28703eeeb46cb6
- Realised P&L
- $356.21
- Volume
- $55.1k
- Markets traded
- 171
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded171
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$651.81at 0.768Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?
- +$219.81at 0.571Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 9?
- +$200.69at 0.367Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?
- +$156.11at 0.651US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
- +$101.40at 0.490Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 15:49 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on September 16? | BUY | 0.0366457576 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 14:55 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | BUY | 0.3835939072 | $40.00 |
| 09-15 15:58 | Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $34.10 |
| 09-14 09:57 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.0323182296 | $11.20 |
| 09-14 09:20 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.21 | $63.00 |
| 09-13 18:27 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.6382002752 | $100.00 |
| 09-07 06:49 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $106.00 |
| 09-03 08:17 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999951 | $20.00 |
| 09-03 08:17 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999951 | $20.00 |
| 08-28 06:35 | Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid? | BUY | 0.4649999981 | $50.00 |
| 08-27 20:52 | Israel military action against Syria by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6999999996 | $200.00 |
| 08-27 19:24 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7018496606 | $200.00 |
| 08-26 12:16 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in August? | BUY | 0.3599999976 | $60.00 |
| 08-26 09:02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7779835793 | $250.00 |
| 08-11 16:18 | Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.3683669678 | $50.00 |