0x76234fAA399ad8a753f8d33F5E28703eeEB46CB6-1773228391753
0x76234faa399ad8a753f8d33f5e28703eeeb46cb6
- Realised P&L
- $2.8k
- Volume
- $85.3k
- Markets traded
- 213
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded213
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$656.30at 0.169Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$472.49at 0.115Mamdani wears a yarmulke by the end of Channukah?
- +$380.74at 0.350Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$219.81at 0.571Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 9?
- +$200.69at 0.367Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:56 | Israel Election: Arab party disqualified? | BUY | 0.0289999999 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 11:01 | Israeli Knesset election annulled? | SELL | 0.0341899479 | $43.24 |
| 10-31 16:54 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.31 | $15.50 |
| 10-29 12:19 | Israeli Knesset election annulled? | SELL | 0.2500666667 | $37.51 |
| 10-29 12:15 | Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.0132937812 | $7.00 |
| 10-29 12:10 | Israeli Knesset election annulled? | SELL | 0.27 | $24.30 |
| 10-29 12:09 | Israeli Knesset election annulled? | BUY | 0.294641375 | $90.00 |
| 10-29 11:18 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.44 | $189.20 |
| 10-29 07:28 | Israeli Knesset election annulled? | BUY | 0.0674584323 | $100.00 |
| 10-29 07:18 | Israel Election: Arab party disqualified? | BUY | 0.049 | $9.80 |
| 10-29 07:16 | Israeli Knesset election annulled? | BUY | 0.063 | $12.60 |
| 10-28 20:46 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.733 | $73.30 |
| 10-28 20:41 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | SELL | 0.6130003 | $61.29 |
| 10-28 19:57 | Will Noam be in the next Israeli government? | BUY | 0.9449003567 | $500.00 |
| 10-28 17:29 | Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.9472202302 | $50.19 |