petralha
0x9ad904ffc201b86e9f1636273f9633301d787e66
- Realised P&L
- $-11.6k
- Volume
- $633.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,915
- Open portfolio
- $49.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,915
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? · Yes | 0.383 | 0.100 | $49.28 | −$139.24 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.50% and 3.99%? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.004 | $0.15 | −$0.59 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.014 | $0.14 | −$0.86 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.00% and 3.49%? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$1.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.500Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 France?
- +$1.2kat 0.750Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5
- +$1.1kat 0.480Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5
- +$519.72at 0.903Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5
- +$231.72at 0.200Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 22:13 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.1440244996 | $4.82 |
| 09-11 21:59 | Will another person win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.73 |
| 08-25 16:58 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C or below on August 25? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-25 16:20 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C or below on August 25? | BUY | 0.2723954338 | $2.98 |
| 08-25 16:19 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on August 25? | SELL | 0.4 | $3.20 |
| 08-25 16:18 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on August 25? | BUY | 0.49 | $3.92 |
| 08-24 16:36 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on August 25? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.88 |
| 08-24 16:01 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on August 24? | SELL | 0.0920426691 | $2.03 |
| 08-23 18:29 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on August 24? | BUY | 0.22 | $4.85 |
| 08-23 00:48 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on August 23? | BUY | 0.7599999937 | $4.82 |
| 08-23 00:47 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on August 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.88 |
| 08-21 21:38 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on August 22? | BUY | 0.6099999529 | $2.98 |
| 08-21 21:16 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 21? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.86 |
| 08-21 18:43 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 21? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.20 |
| 08-21 18:42 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 21? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.29 |