PolyBot

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Traders

0xB3aed53Be79db516DAD7f89E8BE10cfa4C05D58B-1772879875347

0xb3aed53be79db516dad7f89e8be10cfa4c05d58b

Realised P&L
$70.03
Volume
$2.2k
Markets traded
55
Open portfolio
$22.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded55
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4700.305$12.98$7.02
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? · Yes0.4100.155$9.44$15.56
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1790.000$0.00$25.00
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$1.00
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? · Yes0.0690.000$0.00$1.00
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET · Down0.6000.000$0.00$5.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$1.00
Will a player representing England be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET · Up0.6510.000$0.00$32.00
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET · Down0.7820.000$0.00$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET · Down0.2680.000$0.00$134.21
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00$1.00
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 14:12Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETBUY0.6599999604$5.00
08-02 11:39Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETBUY0.8099999741$5.00
07-23 12:11Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETBUY0.7$1.00
07-23 11:21Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETBUY0.6699999196$1.00
07-07 16:39Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETBUY0.8099999741$5.00
07-07 16:38Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETBUY0.7399999674$5.00
07-07 16:38Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETBUY0.8$5.00
07-05 10:35Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETBUY0.5$5.00
07-05 10:33Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETBUY0.7699999877$5.00
07-05 10:32Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETSELL0.29$2.20
07-05 10:31Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETBUY0.6599999604$5.00
07-05 10:26Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETBUY0.7099999702$5.00
07-05 10:23Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETBUY0.9299999888$5.00
07-05 10:23Will England win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.4$1.00
07-05 10:23Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?BUY0.2699998542$1.00