0xB3aed53Be79db516DAD7f89E8BE10cfa4C05D58B-1772879875347
0xb3aed53be79db516dad7f89e8be10cfa4c05d58b
- Realised P&L
- $70.03
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $22.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$131.88at 0.168Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$33.39at 0.310Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
- +$16.13at 0.542Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
- +$9.32at 0.707Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
- +$8.06at 0.113Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 14:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.6599999604 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 11:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET | BUY | 0.8099999741 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 12:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 11:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 16:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | BUY | 0.8099999741 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 16:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | BUY | 0.7399999674 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 16:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 10:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 10:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 10:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | SELL | 0.29 | $2.20 |
| 07-05 10:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | BUY | 0.6599999604 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 10:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | BUY | 0.7099999702 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 10:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | BUY | 0.9299999888 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 10:23 | Will England win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 10:23 | Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |