0x456a21e06D02Ae26c12bdbD772D722F1f53905A1-1730732197410
0x456a21e06d02ae26c12bdbd772d722f1f53905a1
- Realised P&L
- $-136.07
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $105.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.406 | 0.065 | $79.30 | −$416.10 |
| Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.155 | $22.48 | −$32.63 |
| Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.015 | $3.41 | −$31.84 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$400.00at 0.600Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-09 00:03 | Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $21.50 |
| 03-06 15:53 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.47 | $70.50 |
| 03-02 22:53 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.48 | $72.00 |
| 03-02 22:51 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.37 | $55.50 |