PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-01
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.20. down 0.16 over the period, from 0.36. Range 0.17 to 0.45. 170 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.237272
0.242092
0.2820112
0.3250162
0.44170332
0.5320352
0.7318370
0.7480450
0.9114464
0.9233497
0.9356553
0.94334887

Spread0.05Mid0.21

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.187070
0.17240310
0.11100410
0.1021431
0.039440
0.0215455
0.0110465

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.827070
0.83240310
0.89100410
0.9021431
0.979440
0.9815455
0.9910465

Spread0.05Mid0.79

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.777272
0.762092
0.7220112
0.6850162
0.56170332
0.4720352
0.2718370
0.2680450
0.0914464
0.0833497
0.0756553
0.06334887

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AJSVYes340.26
Quarrelsome-BranchYes228.97
KonfuciousYes150
asd56Yes100
GuyFromTinderYes29.99
0x5d4e…360cYes28.64
0x6234…c543Yes20
rubby1337Yes20
ConsensusOfCredibleReportingYes19.75
zeitfi-vault-v2Yes10.43
haouibaoYes10
0xd0d9…30f2Yes5
LucerysYes3.96
0xa5ef…2966No383.83
dedidancNo261.86
tradetosurvive1No95.68
pootytherewardfarmerNo74.5
0xdA446074d3FF8c1fa87227705468BDb80B122E5a-1767763983249No46.68
Dr.PNLNo43.69
youtube-traderNo25

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
23:52:48BUYYes0.199$1.71
22:09:36SELLYes0.1620$3.16
22:08:02SELLYes0.2743510219223$61.21
21:22:30BUYNo0.745$3.70
20:57:30BUYNo0.7713$9.86
10:08:11SELLYes0.240$0.05
09:54:56BUYNo0.7613$9.73
09:54:56BUYNo0.768$6.08
09:54:17BUYNo0.7619$14.44
08:38:47SELLNo0.7520$15.00
08:38:31BUYYes0.2430$7.20
08:38:31BUYYes0.2440$9.48
08:38:31BUYYes0.23150$34.50
08:38:31BUYYes0.2420$4.80
08:38:31BUYYes0.2420$4.80
01:41:20BUYYes0.220$4.00
01:41:20BUYYes0.1960$11.40
00:24:11BUYYes0.229999991410$2.40
21:48:01SELLNo0.720$14.00
21:38:25BUYYes0.209384523281$17.01
20:02:49BUYNo0.7240$28.80
19:52:11BUYYes0.229999996755$12.62
19:30:24BUYYes0.215$1.05
18:12:07BUYYes0.265$1.30
18:12:06BUYYes0.265$1.30