PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Konfucious

0xac761dd9b3a373cc9031dabaab1ecec546299359

Realised P&L
$4.8k
Volume
$266.9k
Markets traded
731
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded731
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 09:17Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?BUY0.32$38.40
08-03 09:07US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.61$61.00
08-02 23:21Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026?BUY0.43$2.85
08-02 23:19Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026?BUY0.43$4.30
08-02 22:39US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.69$12.13
08-02 22:39US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.69$12.13
08-02 22:10US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.57$69.82
08-02 22:03US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?SELL0.45$27.00
08-02 21:57US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.58$11.60
08-02 21:56US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.59$14.75
08-02 21:52US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.619$123.80
08-02 21:49Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.4864344942$5.87
08-02 21:44Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.59$88.50
08-02 21:43US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.44$22.00
08-02 21:43US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.43$4.30