0xdA446074d3FF8c1fa87227705468BDb80B122E5a-1767763983249
0xda446074d3ff8c1fa87227705468bdb80b122e5a
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $143.4k
- Markets traded
- 160
- Open portfolio
- $301.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded160
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 03:45 | Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026? | BUY | 0.9977870583 | $384.23 |
| 07-19 00:00 | Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July? | SELL | 0.866 | $9.40 |
| 07-19 00:00 | Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July? | SELL | 0.583 | $7.90 |
| 07-19 00:00 | Will Claude go down 12+ times in July? | SELL | 0.213 | $12.49 |
| 07-17 01:09 | Will there be fewer than 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999941 | $40.00 |
| 07-17 00:41 | Will there be fewer than 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999941 | $40.00 |
| 07-17 00:15 | Will Claude go down 12+ times in July? | BUY | 0.072 | $4.22 |
| 07-17 00:15 | Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July? | BUY | 0.3689999671 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 00:09 | Will there be fewer than 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026? | BUY | 0.4699999992 | $40.00 |
| 07-16 23:21 | Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July? | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 19:38 | Will there be fewer than 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026? | BUY | 0.4699999893 | $6.56 |
| 07-16 19:13 | Will there be fewer than 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999977 | $40.00 |
| 07-16 18:54 | Will there be fewer than 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999977 | $40.00 |
| 07-16 18:24 | Will there be fewer than 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026? | BUY | 0.454882568 | $40.00 |
| 07-15 05:54 | Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999976 | $27.49 |