PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xdA446074d3FF8c1fa87227705468BDb80B122E5a-1767763983249

0xda446074d3ff8c1fa87227705468bdb80b122e5a

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$143.4k
Markets traded
160
Open portfolio
$301.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded160
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.7060.233$105.70$215.34
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6600.735$73.50+$7.50
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat? · Yes0.7770.670$67.26$10.74
Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat? · Yes0.1800.305$30.50+$12.50
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2900.245$24.50$4.50
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.0230.003$0.25$2.05
Will there be fewer than 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026? · Yes0.4760.000$0.00$288.28
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28? · Yes0.4280.000$0.00$13.56
Critical Discord Incident by June 30? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$17.35
Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.6010.000$0.00$161.26
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1460.000$0.00$24.41

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-22 03:45Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?BUY0.9977870583$384.23
07-19 00:00Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?SELL0.866$9.40
07-19 00:00Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?SELL0.583$7.90
07-19 00:00Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?SELL0.213$12.49
07-17 01:09Will there be fewer than 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?BUY0.4899999941$40.00
07-17 00:41Will there be fewer than 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?BUY0.4899999941$40.00
07-17 00:15Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?BUY0.072$4.22
07-17 00:15Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?BUY0.3689999671$5.00
07-17 00:09Will there be fewer than 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?BUY0.4699999992$40.00
07-16 23:21Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?BUY0.4599999595$5.00
07-16 19:38Will there be fewer than 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?BUY0.4699999893$6.56
07-16 19:13Will there be fewer than 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?BUY0.4599999977$40.00
07-16 18:54Will there be fewer than 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?BUY0.4599999977$40.00
07-16 18:24Will there be fewer than 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?BUY0.454882568$40.00
07-15 05:54Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?BUY0.8299999976$27.49