PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x62346659db3c6f891945c5493fc44fcd37fac543

0x62346659db3c6f891945c5493fc44fcd37fac543

Realised P&L
$-153.25
Volume
$8.6k
Markets traded
999
Open portfolio
$3.80

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded999
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in October 2026? · Yes0.2700.190$3.80−$1.60
Will AD Cali win on 2026-03-14? · No0.5600.000$0.00−$2.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 12:40Will Mistral Large 4 debut at a score of at least 1430 by June 30, 2027?SELL0.81$16.20
10-07 22:36Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a witch?SELL0.21$4.20
10-07 11:39Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by October 31, 2026?SELL0.813$16.26
10-06 22:27Will Bekim Sejdiu be the next President of Kosovo?SELL0.07$1.40
10-06 11:36Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?SELL0.72$3.61
10-06 11:36Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?BUY0.7299998574$1.28
10-06 00:19Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?SELL0.381$3.81
10-05 15:37Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026?SELL0.1$2.00
10-05 13:03Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026?SELL0.33$6.60
10-05 13:03Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.50 on November 30, 2026?SELL0.81$16.20
10-03 20:14Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?SELL0.41$8.19
10-02 12:30Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?SELL0.555615$22.22
10-01 15:27Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000?SELL0.29$4.35
09-29 14:28Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.6599999046$3.46
09-29 14:28Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.3499999617$1.83