0x62346659db3c6f891945c5493fc44fcd37fac543
0x62346659db3c6f891945c5493fc44fcd37fac543
- Realised P&L
- $-153.25
- Volume
- $8.6k
- Markets traded
- 999
- Open portfolio
- $3.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded999
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in October 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.190 | $3.80 | −$1.60 |
| Will AD Cali win on 2026-03-14? · No | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.26at 0.408Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
- +$5.63at 0.357Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
- +$5.60at 0.220Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on November 30, 2026?
- +$4.83at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
- +$4.28at 0.539Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 12:40 | Will Mistral Large 4 debut at a score of at least 1430 by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.81 | $16.20 |
| 10-07 22:36 | Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a witch? | SELL | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 10-07 11:39 | Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.813 | $16.26 |
| 10-06 22:27 | Will Bekim Sejdiu be the next President of Kosovo? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 10-06 11:36 | Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31? | SELL | 0.72 | $3.61 |
| 10-06 11:36 | Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31? | BUY | 0.7299998574 | $1.28 |
| 10-06 00:19 | Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | SELL | 0.381 | $3.81 |
| 10-05 15:37 | Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 13:03 | Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 10-05 13:03 | Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.50 on November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $16.20 |
| 10-03 20:14 | Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election? | SELL | 0.41 | $8.19 |
| 10-02 12:30 | Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | SELL | 0.555615 | $22.22 |
| 10-01 15:27 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000? | SELL | 0.29 | $4.35 |
| 09-29 14:28 | Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.6599999046 | $3.46 |
| 09-29 14:28 | Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.3499999617 | $1.83 |