Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-11-01
Resolves by: IMF PortWatch
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.24. up 0.11 over the period, from 0.14. Range 0.14 to 0.26. 156 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.25	1,243	1,243
0.26	18,458	19,701
0.27	3,157	22,859
0.28	100	22,959
0.30	299	23,257
0.31	113	23,370
0.32	848	24,219
0.33	196	24,415
0.34	441	24,856
0.35	8	24,864
0.47	500	25,364
0.58	340	25,704

Spread0.01Mid0.24

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.24	2,200	2,200
0.23	10,027	12,227
0.22	22,041	34,268
0.21	3,400	37,668
0.18	40	37,708
0.16	44	37,752
0.15	47	37,799
0.14	6	37,805
0.12	120	37,925
0.11	2,750	40,675
0.09	4,201	44,876
0.07	5,616	50,492

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.76	2,200	2,200
0.77	10,027	12,227
0.78	22,041	34,268
0.79	3,400	37,668
0.82	40	37,708
0.84	44	37,752
0.85	47	37,799
0.86	6	37,805
0.88	120	37,925
0.89	2,750	40,675
0.91	4,201	44,876
0.93	5,616	50,492

Spread0.01Mid0.76

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.75	1,243	1,243
0.74	18,458	19,701
0.73	3,157	22,859
0.72	100	22,959
0.70	299	23,257
0.69	113	23,370
0.68	848	24,219
0.67	196	24,415
0.66	441	24,856
0.65	8	24,864
0.53	500	25,364
0.42	340	25,704

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
MaxVision	Yes	2,855.61
0xE43235629C5F4581D039CEc28014dC74631b934A-1767367002794	Yes	897.53
balthazar	Yes	224
Specialist200303	Yes	200.45
0x7D3320778860940e24bdB9Fd1a93FD3365BeC15F-1762298055834	Yes	149
0x3a9d…f332	Yes	111
burge146	Yes	50
GuyFromTinder	Yes	25
youtube-trader	Yes	20
Tallguy2527	Yes	20
sm-02	Yes	16.25
0xd0d9…30f2	Yes	15
asdfasdf11	Yes	10
AJSV	Yes	2.93
Majas	Yes	2.11
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9	Yes	1.34
RememberAmalek	No	2,802.19
0xa5ef…2966	No	1,434.58
anoin123	No	193.5
browne	No	102

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
17:20:26	BUY	No	0.76	25	$19.00
17:20:24	BUY	No	0.76	30	$22.80
17:20:24	BUY	No	0.76	92	$69.95
17:20:24	BUY	No	0.76	10	$7.60
17:20:24	BUY	No	0.76	160	$121.60
17:15:17	BUY	No	0.76	2	$1.38
17:04:59	BUY	No	0.76	2	$1.57
16:49:12	BUY	No	0.76	3	$1.96
16:24:18	BUY	No	0.76	2	$1.73
16:08:45	BUY	No	0.76	2	$1.18
16:01:17	BUY	No	0.76	2	$1.15
16:00:20	BUY	No	0.76	2	$1.22
15:24:00	BUY	No	0.76	2	$1.33
15:23:33	SELL	Yes	0.24	2	$0.41
15:23:03	BUY	No	0.76	3	$1.96
01:15:48	SELL	Yes	0.24	3	$0.65
21:59:29	SELL	No	0.74	194	$143.19
18:43:42	SELL	Yes	0.25	3	$0.65
16:58:41	SELL	Yes	0.25	2	$0.52
16:49:44	BUY	No	0.75	13	$9.60
16:43:42	SELL	Yes	0.25	3	$0.67
05:29:59	BUY	No	0.75	35	$26.36
00:03:12	BUY	No	0.75	7	$5.00
00:03:12	BUY	No	0.7499999244	7	$4.96
18:52:47	BUY	No	0.77	50	$38.50